{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZQKP6151Y2",
  "slug": "mitch-mcconnell-votes-in-the-senate-by-july-31-20260707171829812",
  "question": "Will Mitch McConnell vote in the Senate by July 31?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-senate",
    "mitch-mcconnell",
    "2026",
    "health-and-fitness"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether Senator Mitch McConnell casts any recorded vote in the U.S. Senate before July 31, 2026. Resolution relies on official U.S. Senate vote records as the authoritative source. Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle settles the binary outcome. No cross-platform comparison is available; only one market exists for this event.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-CWMWJ85KM9",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.09,
    "implied_probability": 0.09
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CWMWJ85KM9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZQKP6151Y2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x05a622126d64bbfcb489e13e885d1f3b770db17bc8f62381e000e6a3197e46bd",
      "question": "Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Senator Mitch McConnell of Kentucky casts a vote in the United States Senate on any bill, resolution, nomination, motion, or any other measure between market creation and July 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The United States Senate's official vote records determine whether Senator Mitch McConnell casts any vote between market creation and July 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Senator Mitch McConnell of Kentucky casts a vote in the United States Senate on any bill, resolution, nomination, motion, or any other measure between market creation and July 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "the United States Senate",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.09,
      "implied_probability": 0.09,
      "volume_24h_usd": 3247.1622200000006,
      "volume_total_usd": 34067.99494499999,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "mcconnell",
        "mitch mcconnell senate",
        "politics",
        "us-senate"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-ZQKP6151Y2",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}