{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-Y9F1K0F3B5",
  "slug": "mn-02-house-election-winner",
  "question": "Will the Minnesota 2nd Congressional District House Election result in a Republican winner in 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "minnesota",
    "us-house",
    "2026-midterms",
    "congressional-races"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the November 2026 general election outcome for Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District House seat. Polymarket structures the event across party-outcome contracts and individual-candidate contracts, letting traders price both partisan control and specific nominee probabilities simultaneously. The Federal Election Commission's official canvass is the authoritative resolution source, processed through Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. All contracts close November 4, 2026, following Election Day certification.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-Z7WNYTV1S9",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.086,
    "implied_probability": 0.086
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Z7WNYTV1S9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Y9F1K0F3B5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd74edce8d6b32ad9a93eea0dc2350a78474f6bc3894b9196c04348b1a2e64af7",
      "question": "Will the Republican Party win the MN-02 House seat?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.\n\n​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Republican Party: The Federal Election Commission's official canvass of the MN-02 House election results, conclusively called by November 4, 2026, determines the winning candidate's ballot-listed party affiliation.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.\n\n​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.fec.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "fec.gov",
            "url": "https://www.fec.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Federal Election Commission",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.fec.gov/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Federal Election Commission",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.086,
      "implied_probability": 0.086,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 10312.220349,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "election",
        "house",
        "mn-02",
        "party",
        "republican party"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RTW3PNHC38",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Y9F1K0F3B5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7319fceb8b5a315eae707028bd654463e48acec082565ef1abd3cc18b424ff6f",
      "question": "Will the Democratic Party win the MN-02 House seat?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.\n\n​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Democratic Party: The Federal Election Commission's official canvass of the MN-02 House election results, conclusively called by November 4, 2026, determines the winning candidate's ballot-listed party affiliation.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.\n\n​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.fec.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "fec.gov",
            "url": "https://www.fec.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Federal Election Commission",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.fec.gov/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Federal Election Commission",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.91,
      "implied_probability": 0.91,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 8394.876503,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "democratic party",
        "election",
        "house",
        "mn-02",
        "party"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-C5ZVQTC8M7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Y9F1K0F3B5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7289df70fc4bf76cdbf62cc9a0175eb39474ddf2452a2e62a8a9878c520940dd",
      "question": "Will another party win the MN-02 House seat?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.\n\n​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Other: The Federal Election Commission's official canvass of the MN-02 House election results, conclusively called by November 4, 2026, determines the winning candidate's ballot-listed party affiliation.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.\n\n​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.fec.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "fec.gov",
            "url": "https://www.fec.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Federal Election Commission",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.fec.gov/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Federal Election Commission",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "election",
        "house",
        "mn-02",
        "other party",
        "party"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-K1Q0CJ4HK3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Y9F1K0F3B5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x9249722e43f82d8f4ad34dceeb02067acccc7eadec3ab23faec3b3662b1ebc37",
      "question": "Will A win the MN-02 House seat?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.\n\n​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "A: The Federal Election Commission's official canvass of the MN-02 House election results, conclusively called by November 4, 2026, determines the winning candidate's ballot-listed party affiliation.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.\n\n​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.fec.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "fec.gov",
            "url": "https://www.fec.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Federal Election Commission",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.fec.gov/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Federal Election Commission",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "candidate",
        "election",
        "house",
        "mn-02"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-36F54F61Z1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Y9F1K0F3B5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xfe0b0d660ad4ff4bfe40a3c60416ac4248dbde56e5a4d844658c892920156618",
      "question": "Will B win the MN-02 House seat?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.\n\n​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "B: The Federal Election Commission's official canvass of the MN-02 House election results, conclusively called by November 4, 2026, determines the winning candidate's ballot-listed party affiliation.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.\n\n​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.fec.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "fec.gov",
            "url": "https://www.fec.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Federal Election Commission",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.fec.gov/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Federal Election Commission",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "candidate",
        "election",
        "house",
        "mn-02"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6NR1641G61",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Y9F1K0F3B5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x98618d6a69a5bba8550fef5e4f408b2085c48c254ed24c3c4e07a79ac72db74c",
      "question": "Will C win the MN-02 House seat?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.\n\n​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "C: The Federal Election Commission's official canvass of the MN-02 House election results, conclusively called by November 4, 2026, determines the winning candidate's ballot-listed party affiliation.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.\n\n​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.fec.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "fec.gov",
            "url": "https://www.fec.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Federal Election Commission",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.fec.gov/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Federal Election Commission",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "candidate",
        "election",
        "house",
        "mn-02"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5RN7DGD6M8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Y9F1K0F3B5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x26c852c5388cd9b749d3a5ecc81091e9c17a93d3e9b0bc92c676f95235ab150c",
      "question": "Will D win the MN-02 House seat?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.\n\n​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "D: The Federal Election Commission's official canvass of the MN-02 House election results, conclusively called by November 4, 2026, determines the winning candidate's ballot-listed party affiliation.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.\n\n​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.fec.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "fec.gov",
            "url": "https://www.fec.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Federal Election Commission",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.fec.gov/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Federal Election Commission",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "candidate",
        "election",
        "house",
        "mn-02"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1C99BQPKH5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Y9F1K0F3B5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x08a64cfcc21a55bc0f084a4f374953503afb865b0b6c9a179aea34b5348cdc0c",
      "question": "Will E win the MN-02 House seat?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.\n\n​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "E: The Federal Election Commission's official canvass of the MN-02 House election results, conclusively called by November 4, 2026, determines the winning candidate's ballot-listed party affiliation.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.\n\n​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.fec.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "fec.gov",
            "url": "https://www.fec.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Federal Election Commission",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.fec.gov/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Federal Election Commission",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "candidate",
        "election",
        "house",
        "mn-02"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-C5ZVQTC8M7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-11-04T00:00:00Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-08-04",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-K1Q0CJ4HK3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-11-04T00:00:00Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-08-04",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-36F54F61Z1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-11-04T00:00:00Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-08-04",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6NR1641G61",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-11-04T00:00:00Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-08-04",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5RN7DGD6M8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-11-04T00:00:00Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-08-04",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1C99BQPKH5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-11-04T00:00:00Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-08-04",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-Y9F1K0F3B5",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}