{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-F4B4N8ZN10",
  "slug": "mn-05-democratic-primary-winner",
  "question": "Who will win the Minnesota 5th Congressional District Democratic Primary?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "2026",
    "minnesota",
    "primary",
    "democratic-nomination"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Democratic primary nomination outcome for Minnesota's 5th Congressional District, scheduled to resolve August 11, 2026. Polymarket structures the event as parallel binary contracts, one per named candidate, each resolving via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against official Democratic Party sources. The named candidates include incumbent Ilhan Omar and challenger Latonya Reeves, with residual contracts covering other entrants. Probabilities across all contracts must sum to one, making relative pricing a direct read on primary outcome odds.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-0CXVGVGTK1",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.978,
    "implied_probability": 0.978
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  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-F4B4N8ZN10",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x805989714fd56adb1fda05206d993bc60aa133f2331580ab69df906f65360d31",
      "question": "Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Ilhan Omar: Official Democratic Party sources will confirm which candidate wins the Democratic primary nomination for the referenced U.S. House seat in MN-05 by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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        "source_citation": "https://democrats.org/",
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        "score": 52,
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.978,
      "implied_probability": 0.978,
      "volume_24h_usd": 267.285387,
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      "tags": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-F4B4N8ZN10",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x8192dd35ac1fd08d63739b40f14448f5d321bcc69da9dd22b7743b6bb130b47c",
      "question": "Will Latonya Reeves be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Latonya Reeves: Official Democratic Party sources will confirm which candidate wins the Democratic primary nomination for the referenced U.S. House seat in MN-05 by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-F4B4N8ZN10",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x49bdabba651527577da68d8468a58042e9d494e6b905c897cdfd0b202ee9da7d",
      "question": "Will another person be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Other: Official Democratic Party sources will confirm which candidate wins the Democratic primary nomination for the referenced U.S. House seat in MN-05 by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DJV3B5S2H3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-F4B4N8ZN10",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xcaba8fd3e39fd4ccc03bd040904c75f6210c91001c2d5f4176fdf4c20d181af4",
      "question": "Will Person A be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Person A: Official Democratic Party sources will confirm which candidate wins the Democratic primary nomination for the referenced U.S. House seat in MN-05 by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source_citation": "https://democrats.org/",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MJQSQ6ZRD4",
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      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x940e9379ac665d330680774c4997286bb01fabd935583b5edd085209bb438bb8",
      "question": "Will Person B be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Person B: Official Democratic Party sources will confirm which candidate wins the Democratic primary nomination for the referenced U.S. House seat in MN-05 by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
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        "source_citation": "https://democrats.org/",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-R0639KW8W0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-F4B4N8ZN10",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x55399907f8d8b2df41a52f6f19d2671e240a00c04a777d6354239a5113ff6fc7",
      "question": "Will Person C be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Person C: Official Democratic Party sources will confirm which candidate wins the Democratic primary nomination for the referenced U.S. House seat in MN-05 by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source_citation": "https://democrats.org/",
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      "rcg": {
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        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XV33LJXGX4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-F4B4N8ZN10",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5ea0b21312a8d01921e1c32ac8f94efdb9cb9bb566e804fc93ac813772c29568",
      "question": "Will Person D be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Person D: Official Democratic Party sources will confirm which candidate wins the Democratic primary nomination for the referenced U.S. House seat in MN-05 by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2Z9KBFR5P0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-F4B4N8ZN10",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb1510925372f080eeb6b4f6564c0ef916300b7cfb9ce38728686b56ff29fc2db",
      "question": "Will Person E be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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