{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-D8PHV0H0Z7",
  "slug": "moonshot-publishes-kimi-k3-weights-by-july-27-20260717164254847",
  "question": "Will Moonshot publish Kimi K3 weights by July 27?",
  "category": "technology",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "technology",
    "ai",
    "model-weights",
    "moonshot-ai",
    "open-source",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether Moonshot AI releases downloadable Kimi K3 model weights by July 27, 2026. Resolution depends on an official announcement or public weight release from Moonshot AI. Only one platform structures this event, leaving no cross-platform contrast. Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle settles the binary outcome at 11:59 PM ET on July 27, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-RHNVM42C44",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.953,
    "implied_probability": 0.953
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RHNVM42C44",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-D8PHV0H0Z7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x92c49dbe9294a0bfdd25c3794678a954367c8472965f269d604bf06d5e1e12d7",
      "question": "Moonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27?",
      "description": "Moonshot AI announced that it plans to publish the full model weights for Kimi K3 by July 27, 2026 (see: https://www.kimi.com/blog/kimi-k3).\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Moonshot AI publicly releases the full model weights for Kimi K3 by July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe weights will be considered publicly released if the complete official Kimi K3 model weights are made publicly downloadable.\n\nThe release will qualify regardless of any licensing restrictions on acceptable or commercial use, provided the weights are publicly downloadable. Qua",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Moonshot AI's official announcement or public release of downloadable Kimi K3 model weights by July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-27T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-27T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Moonshot AI announced that it plans to publish the full model weights for Kimi K3 by July 27, 2026 (see: https://www.kimi.com/blog/kimi-k3).\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Moonshot AI publicly releases the full model weights for Kimi K3 by July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe weights will be considered publicly released if the complete official Kimi K3 model weights are made publicly downloadable.\n\nThe release will qualify regardless of any licensing restrictions on acceptable or commercial use, provided the weights are publicly downloadable. Quantized, converted, distilled, partial, or otherwise modified versions released by third parties will not qualify.\n\nA release consisting solely of an API, hosted access, inference code, architecture information, a technical report, or a repository without the complete downloadable weights will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information and repositories from Moonshot AI. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.kimi.com/blog/kimi-k3",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "kimi.com",
            "url": "https://www.kimi.com/blog/kimi-k3",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "official information and repositories from Moonshot AI",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 71,
        "caps": [
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        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.953,
      "implied_probability": 0.953,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1511.01468,
      "volume_total_usd": 12665.143211000002,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-3BA2422D25",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ai",
        "k3",
        "kimi",
        "model-weights",
        "moonshot",
        "moonshot kimi k3"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
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  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-D8PHV0H0Z7",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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