{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-GTT2ZNFN87",
  "slug": "nechirvan-barzani-out-as-kurdistan-regional-government-president",
  "question": "Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?",
  "category": "geopolitics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "geopolitics",
    "kurdistan-regional-government",
    "nechirvan-barzani",
    "executive-leadership",
    "middle-east-politics",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This event tracks whether Nechirvan Barzani will cease to hold the Kurdistan Regional Government presidency by June 30, 2026. A single Polymarket binary contract prices the outcome as yes or no. No cross-platform structural contrast exists; only one market is listed. Resolution follows Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, referencing official announcements from Barzani or the Kurdistan Regional Government.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-SJ4WJFZJR9",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.001,
    "implied_probability": 0.001
  },
  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SJ4WJFZJR9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GTT2ZNFN87",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x710fe8f847bc1bbe017c577257a9008cc40cea00e296aa354dd8bc4b6ab30a15",
      "question": "Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nechirvan Barzani ceases to be the President of the Kurdistan Regional Government for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Barzani’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Nechirvan Barzani and the Kurdistan Regional Government; however, a consensus of credi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Official announcements from Nechirvan Barzani or the Kurdistan Regional Government determine whether he ceases to be President before June 30, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nechirvan Barzani ceases to be the President of the Kurdistan Regional Government for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Barzani’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Nechirvan Barzani and the Kurdistan Regional Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 34,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 884.3999999999999,
      "volume_total_usd": 18015.078442999984,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "iraq",
        "kurdistan",
        "leadership",
        "nechirvan barzani krg",
        "politics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-GTT2ZNFN87",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}