{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-V400VQRJ96",
  "slug": "netanyahu-drops-out-of-israel-election-by-july-31",
  "question": "Will Netanyahu drop out of the Israel election by July 31?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "israel-elections",
    "2026",
    "political-withdrawal",
    "middle-east",
    "leadership-change"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether Benjamin Netanyahu will withdraw his candidacy from the October 27, 2026 Israeli Knesset election before July 31, 2026. A single Polymarket binary resolves on Netanyahu's official announcement. Resolution follows Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle protocol. The authoritative source is Netanyahu's official public statement on his candidacy status.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-YWFW7K2CZ3",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.01,
    "implied_probability": 0.01
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YWFW7K2CZ3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-V400VQRJ96",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x54340f047993498875e98e36447577fffa83a23de09b613ab7b2e98bbb7b41dc",
      "question": "Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?",
      "description": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOnly definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Benjamin Netanyahu's official announcement regarding his candidacy in the October 27, 2026 Israeli Knesset election, as reported by credible news sources or his official communications.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOnly definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official information from Benjamin Netanyahu",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 3640.47,
      "volume_total_usd": 84327.198881,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "benjamin netanyahu israel",
        "election",
        "israel",
        "netanyahu",
        "politics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-V400VQRJ96",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}