{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-LTD4KR3MF4",
  "slug": "netanyahu-out-before-2027",
  "question": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu be out of office by the end of 2026?",
  "category": "geopolitics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
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    "politics",
    "israel",
    "leadership-transition",
    "2026",
    "parliamentary-politics"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel by sequential deadlines in 2026. The March 31, April 30, May 31, June 30, and December 31 tranches form an implicit probability term structure. Earlier strikes should price at or below later strikes, creating a built-in arbitrage check across the curve. All five markets resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, referencing official government announcements or credible reporting.",
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xd1796c09d0d6f876f8580086ae9808ec991784e3a74b25a1830a25de71a78c96",
      "question": "Netanyahu out by end of 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "December 31: The named candidate ceases to be Prime Minister per official government announcements or credible reporting consensus by April 5, 2026, resolved via UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
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        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SS7VVV0PK1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LTD4KR3MF4",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xb37e5f6ece2db9165517b62e3257e0da5d3e79713883cb71c74013fe912e8a4d",
      "question": "Netanyahu out by April 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
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      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
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}