{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-Q7DX7L87P0",
  "slug": "nevada-governor-winner-2026",
  "question": "Will the Nevada governor election be won by the Republican candidate?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "nevada",
    "governor-race",
    "us-2026",
    "electoral-outcome"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the outcome of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election. All thirteen contracts are binary outcome markets on Polymarket, resolving via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. The Democrat and Republican contracts are the operative liquidity venues; Option A through J and Other legs cover named candidates and residual outcomes. The Associated Press call serves as the authoritative resolution trigger.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-5J1Y2MMJ85",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.48,
    "implied_probability": 0.48
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Q7DX7L87P0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x707eb5c6df23e32e0b770dd0ccd1245abb7fac0dcfd24d8b68dd99e5ca737180",
      "question": "Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This marke",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Democrat: The named party's gubernatorial nominee wins the 2026 Nevada election, as called by the Associated Press, Fox News, or NBC.",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
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            "name": "Associated Press",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official certification",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
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        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": "quorum",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 82,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.53,
      "implied_probability": 0.53,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 10794.65443100001,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
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      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "democrat",
        "governor",
        "nevada",
        "nevada governor election"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Q7DX7L87P0",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xb63fbd776203cada01a13bb21b3c52c500bcf904bdfc71627022db1f891f95c5",
      "question": "Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This marke",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Republican: The named party's gubernatorial nominee wins the 2026 Nevada election, as called by the Associated Press, Fox News, or NBC.",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "score": 82,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "volume_total_usd": 30651.468454000023,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Q7DX7L87P0",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x5fcfaa1074effa8ae8fdd29ec786dc1d8b2430dbbf006e3744e505cfb2710f18",
      "question": "Will Option A win the Nevada governor race in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This marke",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Option A: The named party's gubernatorial nominee wins the 2026 Nevada election, as called by the Associated Press, Fox News, or NBC.",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 82,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "governor",
        "nevada",
        "nevada governor election",
        "option_a"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PH5P0K6H99",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Q7DX7L87P0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xdc8f87d34c1420512ce30c31255056f61485146115e061eb1a646505fe80cb7f",
      "question": "Will Option B win the Nevada governor race in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This marke",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Option B: The named party's gubernatorial nominee wins the 2026 Nevada election, as called by the Associated Press, Fox News, or NBC.",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_mechanism": "quorum",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 82,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "option_b"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZC8LL9LZV8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Q7DX7L87P0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xfc2745ff189649884e9e696913b1120f97dbf0b44f0e94ad2da9d1305ad50794",
      "question": "Will Option C win the Nevada governor race in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This marke",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Option C: The named party's gubernatorial nominee wins the 2026 Nevada election, as called by the Associated Press, Fox News, or NBC.",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 82,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "tags": [
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        "governor",
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        "nevada governor election",
        "option_c"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Q8DW3HQFX0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Q7DX7L87P0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xbfa5385b37201b60bc1fce8ab3c1acd8f1e2ebe6bbab0343a7585af44586f738",
      "question": "Will Option D win the Nevada governor race in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This marke",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Option D: The named party's gubernatorial nominee wins the 2026 Nevada election, as called by the Associated Press, Fox News, or NBC.",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 82,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
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      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "threshold": null,
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      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "governor",
        "nevada",
        "nevada governor election",
        "option_d"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HQBYPM0TY0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Q7DX7L87P0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x97670a28722e9a9afbaf02b587e77e6fc6bd2d305113c4347cd01a7bbc5e433a",
      "question": "Will Option E win the Nevada governor race in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This marke",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Option E: The named party's gubernatorial nominee wins the 2026 Nevada election, as called by the Associated Press, Fox News, or NBC.",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 82,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0,
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
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