{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-HY8R70V952",
  "slug": "new-hampshire-democratic-senate-primary-winner",
  "question": "Will the Democratic Party winner of the New Hampshire Senate primary be determined by the 2026 primary election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "2026",
    "primary",
    "new-hampshire",
    "senate"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the winner of the New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary, scheduled to resolve September 8, 2026. Polymarket structures the event as a set of parallel binary contracts, one per named candidate plus a residual \"other\" bucket. Each contract resolves independently via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against the New Hampshire Democratic Party's official nomination announcement. Probabilities across all contracts must collectively sum to one, making cross-contract pricing the key arbitrage signal.",
  "venues_covered": [
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-JFMY0JLQL1",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.039,
    "as_of": "2026-09-06T06:00:48.475Z"
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  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HY8R70V952",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x1cf96ff28b0fa76e23f12a0cf299fc3bced8b26e0addfc1ef11fb58347c0216e",
      "question": "Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire.\n\nIf no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Karishma Manzur: The named candidate's nomination resolves according to the New Hampshire Democratic Party's announcement of the 2026 Senate Primary results, or overwhelming credible reporting consensus if unavailable, by September 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-08T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-08T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire.\n\nIf no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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        "sources": [
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            "name": "the New Hampshire Democratic party",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "score": 48,
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      "implied_probability": 0.039,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-06T06:00:48.475Z",
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      "question": "Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire.\n\nIf no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
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      "question": "Will Candidate A be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?",
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      "close_at": "2026-09-08T00:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire.\n\nIf no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
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      "question": "Will Candidate B be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire.\n\nIf no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Candidate B: The named candidate's nomination resolves according to the New Hampshire Democratic Party's announcement of the 2026 Senate Primary results, or overwhelming credible reporting consensus if unavailable, by September 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-08T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-08T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire.\n\nIf no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KV4CJTR2R7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HY8R70V952",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x28849bfeab4ebeea686c532b26efbcc803d815a292dd88a991e86f252696a3c9",
      "question": "Will Candidate C be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire.\n\nIf no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "resolve_at": "2026-09-08T00:00:00Z",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FDTLQ644T9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HY8R70V952",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xd617608dbe64954e22ffdb9c5c6e7f3454f79dea012e097aa8dda04be8eac26b",
      "question": "Will Candidate D be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire.\n\nIf no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire.\n\nIf no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-T19BHN0RK0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HY8R70V952",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xe5a1d3a6eb76bebdeae5a1bda8ce37c5d81a25daa60ab07e6004fb6ed0b47463",
      "question": "Will Candidate E be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire.\n\nIf no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Candidate E: The named candidate's nomination resolves according to the New Hampshire Democratic Party's announcement of the 2026 Senate Primary results, or overwhelming credible reporting consensus if unavailable, by September 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-08T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-08T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire.\n\nIf no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HY8R70V952",
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      "question": "Will Candidate F be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire.\n\nIf no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire.\n\nIf no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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