{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-BG2D83SSZ7",
  "slug": "new-york-governor-republican-primary-winner",
  "question": "Will the Republican primary winner for New York Governor be determined by June 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "elections",
    "politics",
    "new-york",
    "republican-primary",
    "2026",
    "gubernatorial"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the winner of the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election. Each Polymarket contract prices a single candidate's binary outcome; together they form a mutually exclusive, collectively exhaustive set. All contracts resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against the New York Republican Party's official primary results on June 23, 2026. Placeholder candidates labeled A through O suggest the field remains unsettled ahead of the primary date.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-D93RC83RK9",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0,
    "implied_probability": 0
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-N4BDFR51G2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BG2D83SSZ7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xbab5703006a17b1339ad99c904505693d56ad2f8ded327fdc953fd1a3f21a425",
      "question": "Will Elise Stefanik win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Elise Stefanik: The New York Republican Party's official primary results announcement on June 23, 2026, or overwhelming credible reporting consensus, determines the named candidate winner.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 300,
      "volume_total_usd": 12164.153489999995,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "york governor republican"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-D93RC83RK9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BG2D83SSZ7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x2ab732c4416793d54052b0e810ccda61018766fb4486be18c5f145f2918b4a0d",
      "question": "Will David Tulley win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "David Tulley: The New York Republican Party's official primary results announcement on June 23, 2026, or overwhelming credible reporting consensus, determines the named candidate winner.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "caps": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TLMTS7G9Y0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BG2D83SSZ7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x142eb6d138c289acf13177a69971aca9ddfb494313c30818c6211ec91f1ebf6e",
      "question": "Will Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Bruce Blakeman: The New York Republican Party's official primary results announcement on June 23, 2026, or overwhelming credible reporting consensus, determines the named candidate winner.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 39.41,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-J62ZGRGKH7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BG2D83SSZ7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x800df6bc4658248162b464f6171da8685eddc388867adca018df1168ccaa15aa",
      "question": "Will Candidate B win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Candidate B: The New York Republican Party's official primary results announcement on June 23, 2026, or overwhelming credible reporting consensus, determines the named candidate winner.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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        "sources": [
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        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-C8QDDP70K0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BG2D83SSZ7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7eae9396e1e22894d220a42ac13e3b9ab1eed267d36bbe81f5a998bcd51b0e21",
      "question": "Will Candidate D win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Candidate D: The New York Republican Party's official primary results announcement on June 23, 2026, or overwhelming credible reporting consensus, determines the named candidate winner.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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        "sources": [
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "caps": [
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YNLSLSB429",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BG2D83SSZ7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa056b223a97026d8e5e4a45eb8dfd52c50abdd2c34801283e68d299d6e837739",
      "question": "Will Candidate F win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Candidate F: The New York Republican Party's official primary results announcement on June 23, 2026, or overwhelming credible reporting consensus, determines the named candidate winner.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VFKG2MWG13",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BG2D83SSZ7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x9e74b60be644c30f9dcf71edc5374b48b3c18e7e67b7e1053591addc5efbfacd",
      "question": "Will Candidate H win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Candidate H: The New York Republican Party's official primary results announcement on June 23, 2026, or overwhelming credible reporting consensus, determines the named candidate winner.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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        "sources": [
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            "name": "the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "tags": [
        "york governor republican"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-21KBH9DSL8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BG2D83SSZ7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x20ad8d607bc4b7e26cf92d17bbb1e13efebaea9f928bf5292ac521bddfcdda5d",
      "question": "Will Candidate J win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Candidate J: The New York Republican Party's official primary results announcement on June 23, 2026, or overwhelming credible reporting consensus, determines the named candidate winner.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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        "sources": [
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            "name": "the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-BG2D83SSZ7",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}