{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-Q2TMLJC0D5",
  "slug": "new-york-governor-winner-2026",
  "question": "Will a winner be determined in the New York Governor election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "new-york",
    "us-governors",
    "2026",
    "electoral-outcomes"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the outcome of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election. Polymarket structures the event as a multi-leg binary set: one contract per party or named candidate. All legs resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle using an AP, Fox News, or NBC race call. The placeholder options suggest candidate fields are not yet finalized.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-YTFWLTC4D4",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.06,
    "implied_probability": 0.06,
    "as_of": "2026-09-07T06:00:39.582Z"
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x4cd035dcfb450c9a6bc9aa13f3aa94fabc01e47499d05d28ef653ef42939c364",
      "question": "Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This mar",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Democrat: Associated Press, Fox News, or NBC call determines the winner of the 2026 gubernatorial election; the named party's nominee must prevail to resolve affirmatively.",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
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            "name": "Associated Press",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "official certification",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": "quorum",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 57,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.95,
      "implied_probability": 0.95,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-07T09:00:42.355Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 116.41052,
      "volume_total_usd": 49660.546018999994,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
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      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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      "question": "Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Republican: Associated Press, Fox News, or NBC call determines the winner of the 2026 gubernatorial election; the named party's nominee must prevail to resolve affirmatively.",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.06,
      "implied_probability": 0.06,
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      "tags": [
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      "platform_market_id": "0xcfa6baf3323c4298b2e76917099dc4595a820e62e98f005dfca089bfc22d1b00",
      "question": "Will Option A win the New York governor race in 2026?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Option A: Associated Press, Fox News, or NBC call determines the winner of the 2026 gubernatorial election; the named party's nominee must prevail to resolve affirmatively.",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 57,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "governor",
        "ny",
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4CXDM9F3C0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Q2TMLJC0D5",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x95ff98051eb30f5d2b1eddadfe579f4f6d00dc819b3eb93c8036e0ab5c0db83c",
      "question": "Will Option B win the New York governor race in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This mar",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Option B: Associated Press, Fox News, or NBC call determines the winner of the 2026 gubernatorial election; the named party's nominee must prevail to resolve affirmatively.",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
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        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0,
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      "price_as_of": null,
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      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-31SQXMMKK0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Q2TMLJC0D5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1c80b97ef6d9f015de2560d1b524a8b20520ce44c3e7d43f0d677f756feb7615",
      "question": "Will Option C win the New York governor race in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This mar",
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      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Option C: Associated Press, Fox News, or NBC call determines the winner of the 2026 gubernatorial election; the named party's nominee must prevail to resolve affirmatively.",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 57,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0,
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      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "threshold": null,
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      "tags": [
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        "ny",
        "option-c",
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HPH949JS47",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Q2TMLJC0D5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xde068276c6e942f40d2bf8f850209d9fe218ec12f6bc152e799e36caff231f8c",
      "question": "Will Option D win the New York governor race in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This mar",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Option D: Associated Press, Fox News, or NBC call determines the winner of the 2026 gubernatorial election; the named party's nominee must prevail to resolve affirmatively.",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "name": "NBC",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 57,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "price_as_of": null,
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      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "tags": [
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        "governor",
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        "option-d",
        "york governor election"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Z973KCXHY9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Q2TMLJC0D5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa9d3f4db9b3fb1f78b4c83f76a1720a30f1327a403c1f19e2506053a5b76e1f7",
      "question": "Will Option E win the New York governor race in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This mar",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Option E: Associated Press, Fox News, or NBC call determines the winner of the 2026 gubernatorial election; the named party's nominee must prevail to resolve affirmatively.",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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