{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-RYWCNFSH24",
  "slug": "new-zealand-election-2nd-place-393",
  "question": "Will Labour finish in second place in the 2026 New Zealand general election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "new-zealand",
    "2026",
    "parliamentary-seats",
    "second-place"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which party finishes second by seat count in the 2026 New Zealand general election. The Electoral Commission of New Zealand is the authoritative resolver; Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle operationalizes that determination on-chain. All markets are structured as per-party binary outcomes, collectively exhaustive across named parties and placeholder slots. Traders should note that New Zealand's MMP system can produce seat counts that diverge materially from party vote share.",
  "venues_covered": [
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-135559TNH8",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.62,
    "implied_probability": 0.62
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  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-135559TNH8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RYWCNFSH24",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x5fe6c169639d7a315e58c7aea2a1b7ba7720aaa86c07292090ce97b70c83bea7",
      "question": "Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?",
      "description": "A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party li",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "National Party: The Electoral Commission of New Zealand will declare the second-largest party by House of Representatives seats won in the November 7, 2026 general election, with resolution deadline October 31, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-07T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-07T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://elections.nz/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "elections.nz",
            "url": "https://elections.nz/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "New Zealand Electoral Commission",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "New Zealand Electoral Commission",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.62,
      "implied_probability": 0.62,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 8197.286651,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-646BJVNQ66",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RYWCNFSH24",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xe9cb48f6706fdb574c943787f38d7ae2dd93a5eddea40e0a78036c624f2ce483",
      "question": "Will Labour Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?",
      "description": "A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party li",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Labour Party: The Electoral Commission of New Zealand will declare the second-largest party by House of Representatives seats won in the November 7, 2026 general election, with resolution deadline October 31, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-07T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-07T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "tags": [
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      "platform_market_id": "0xc62accd00f42ef9854bb604b1754a485f74f70404b7a1b4c2aeca6383efd5eb2",
      "question": "Will Green Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?",
      "description": "A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party li",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Green Party: The Electoral Commission of New Zealand will declare the second-largest party by House of Representatives seats won in the November 7, 2026 general election, with resolution deadline October 31, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-07T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-07T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://elections.nz/",
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            "name": "New Zealand Electoral Commission",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.002,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
        "zealand election 2nd"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4RX7PJCS82",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RYWCNFSH24",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf1dc41f7035faef137a4e82ca99a059f8055328c1e4169d98616ac0d173c1369",
      "question": "Will ACT New Zealand win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?",
      "description": "A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party li",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
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      "close_at": "2026-11-07T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-07T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://elections.nz/",
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        "score": 84,
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "tags": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-P93ZS6XWH3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RYWCNFSH24",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x12781ea8e77487ed32ed6cef5026d5199b5618d1c58220e98af81eee539797a4",
      "question": "Will New Zealand First Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?",
      "description": "A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party li",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "New Zealand First Party: The Electoral Commission of New Zealand will declare the second-largest party by House of Representatives seats won in the November 7, 2026 general election, with resolution deadline October 31, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-07T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-07T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source": null,
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        "source_citation": "https://elections.nz/",
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            "name": "elections.nz",
            "url": "https://elections.nz/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "New Zealand Electoral Commission",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "tags": [
        "zealand election 2nd"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-W4W4DD2SJ8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RYWCNFSH24",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x8936b7748124d3d7fdf291ffde0558dffff1725ca5306416462e277624e5a911",
      "question": "Will Te Pāti Māori win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?",
      "description": "A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party li",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Te Pāti Māori: The Electoral Commission of New Zealand will declare the second-largest party by House of Representatives seats won in the November 7, 2026 general election, with resolution deadline October 31, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-07T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-07T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://elections.nz/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "elections.nz",
            "url": "https://elections.nz/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "New Zealand Electoral Commission",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "New Zealand Electoral Commission",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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        "source_quality": null,
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        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2QFGQQHVQ8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RYWCNFSH24",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xdf3ee1a59fcf205b46ac8a64d0c29c29a102bafb541c979cabeb14771bdfd4e6",
      "question": "Will Party A win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?",
      "description": "A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party li",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Party A: The Electoral Commission of New Zealand will declare the second-largest party by House of Representatives seats won in the November 7, 2026 general election, with resolution deadline October 31, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-07T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-07T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
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