{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
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    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-DB92W53ZH3",
  "slug": "new-zealand-legislative-election-winner",
  "question": "Will the New Zealand Labour Party win the most seats in the next legislative election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "new-zealand",
    "2026",
    "parliament",
    "legislative"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which party wins the most seats in New Zealand's 2026 House of Representatives election. Polymarket lists individual party contracts, each pricing a binary outcome for one named party. All contracts resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against Electoral Commission New Zealand official seat tallies. Final results from the Electoral Commission New Zealand govern resolution on November 7, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-JRJ0P4P584",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.4
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  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
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      "question": "Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "National Party: The Electoral Commission New Zealand official results for House of Representatives seat allocation from the November 7, 2026 general election, with party list votes as tiebreaker, resolve by October 31, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-07T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-07T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://elections.nz/",
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            "name": "elections.nz",
            "url": "https://elections.nz/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "New Zealand Electoral Commission",
            "url": null,
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        "source_of_record": "New Zealand Electoral Commission",
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        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.4,
      "implied_probability": 0.4,
      "volume_24h_usd": 59.8,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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      "question": "Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?",
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      "close_at": "2026-11-07T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-07T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "question": "Will Green Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?",
      "description": "A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Green Party: The Electoral Commission New Zealand official results for House of Representatives seat allocation from the November 7, 2026 general election, with party list votes as tiebreaker, resolve by October 31, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-07T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-07T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3J3FZH14K2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DB92W53ZH3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1a7760f18d026a3a9b53c47c1eeac3672b58179775ecd9b3211901b2df3370a4",
      "question": "Will ACT New Zealand win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?",
      "description": "A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "ACT New Zealand: The Electoral Commission New Zealand official results for House of Representatives seat allocation from the November 7, 2026 general election, with party list votes as tiebreaker, resolve by October 31, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-07T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-07T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).",
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      "question": "Will New Zealand First Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-11-07T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-07T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).",
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      "tags": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6JSXST9LB0",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x1d8559a10edfe1475b22e9271eb48ec7863ccf2baeb478aef69fc79ef454db32",
      "question": "Will Te Pāti Māori win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?",
      "description": "A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-11-07T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-07T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-06KGSZ8RF5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DB92W53ZH3",
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      "question": "Will Party A win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?",
      "description": "A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Party A: The Electoral Commission New Zealand official results for House of Representatives seat allocation from the November 7, 2026 general election, with party list votes as tiebreaker, resolve by October 31, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-07T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-07T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "rules_raw": "A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).",
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        "rules_raw": "A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).",
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        "rules_raw": "A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).",
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        "rules_raw": "A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).",
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