{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-GZ9M6X8G64",
  "slug": "next-french-presidential-election-who-will-advance-to-the-2nd-round",
  "question": "Will Emmanuel Macron and Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French Presidential Election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "france",
    "presidential-election",
    "2027",
    "runoff"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which candidates advance to the second round of the 2027 French presidential election. Each binary contract resolves yes if the named candidate finishes in the top two by first-round vote share. Polymarket fields per-candidate binary contracts, resolved via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. Resolution triggers at the official first-round count, expected by April 30, 2027.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-TPCBT9LP11",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.05,
    "implied_probability": 0.05
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BHSWL44MD3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GZ9M6X8G64",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x4de07f3b6b1220c2406e5807d30588fc6cbd5b938310835524106d05d20a9b4a",
      "question": "Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?",
      "description": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Marine Le Pen: The named candidate advances to the second round if ranked among the top two vote-getters in the first round, per France's Interior Ministry official results by April 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "interieur.gouv.fr",
            "url": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
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        "source_of_record": "interieur.gouv.fr",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.9,
      "implied_probability": 0.9,
      "volume_24h_usd": 5,
      "volume_total_usd": 5667.773559,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "next french presidential"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TPCBT9LP11",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GZ9M6X8G64",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xce359525c2bb818d884de048e4d451da004d38eb16cb4d2263cb6b9e8ecf781c",
      "question": "Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?",
      "description": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Jordan Bardella: The named candidate advances to the second round if ranked among the top two vote-getters in the first round, per France's Interior Ministry official results by April 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "interieur.gouv.fr",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.05,
      "implied_probability": 0.05,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 17293.13806399998,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1BJ85RSNV3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GZ9M6X8G64",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x2036e2b575612231fb0087c5fdb72a66e92855cdc97729e12d8bf1625ca7873e",
      "question": "Will Éric Zemmour advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?",
      "description": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Éric Zemmour: The named candidate advances to the second round if ranked among the top two vote-getters in the first round, per France's Interior Ministry official results by April 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "interieur.gouv.fr",
            "url": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "interieur.gouv.fr",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.03,
      "implied_probability": 0.03,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 631.3090609999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "next french presidential"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-R8028LCYS3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GZ9M6X8G64",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb566fa0e3c584130a8c023988536dc6fb8460b113acec09bf27da51b7a1ac158",
      "question": "Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?",
      "description": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Édouard Philippe: The named candidate advances to the second round if ranked among the top two vote-getters in the first round, per France's Interior Ministry official results by April 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "interieur.gouv.fr",
            "url": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "interieur.gouv.fr",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.43,
      "implied_probability": 0.43,
      "volume_24h_usd": 200,
      "volume_total_usd": 961.415271,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9FXCJLQ3B0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GZ9M6X8G64",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xcc100766ebc6f6f29b53aed3867d6b4457f28681878b3c09ca93da28dca7a6df",
      "question": "Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?",
      "description": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "David Lisnard: The named candidate advances to the second round if ranked among the top two vote-getters in the first round, per France's Interior Ministry official results by April 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "interieur.gouv.fr",
            "url": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "interieur.gouv.fr",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.025,
      "implied_probability": 0.025,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 2276.1937940000003,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "next french presidential"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5M936K03G6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GZ9M6X8G64",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x314a3cc687db41e963854483ef4cd5458d8bfcee30b3c6f62372a7ff49d782ba",
      "question": "Will Xavier Bertrand advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?",
      "description": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Xavier Bertrand: The named candidate advances to the second round if ranked among the top two vote-getters in the first round, per France's Interior Ministry official results by April 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "interieur.gouv.fr",
            "url": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "interieur.gouv.fr",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 1537.1305639999994,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
        "next french presidential"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PJJW4HN2Q3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GZ9M6X8G64",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xe121e4494bf5a1fd4a7353ca663ed5c8fea91e5c5b89f35299b31a6b35d86abe",
      "question": "Will Laurent Wauquiez advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?",
      "description": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Laurent Wauquiez: The named candidate advances to the second round if ranked among the top two vote-getters in the first round, per France's Interior Ministry official results by April 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
        "sources": [
          {
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            "url": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "interieur.gouv.fr",
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        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
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        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.04,
      "implied_probability": 0.04,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 57.670937,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "next french presidential"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NPHK86QQ34",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GZ9M6X8G64",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x688510fa5349e5503fab2abb3173164849e7c81ec1ad409c0b1106718c832bdd",
      "question": "Will François Ruffin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?",
      "description": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "François Ruffin: The named candidate advances to the second round if ranked among the top two vote-getters in the first round, per France's Interior Ministry official results by April 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "interieur.gouv.fr",
            "url": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "interieur.gouv.fr",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.037,
      "implied_probability": 0.037,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 4723.529179000002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-K3JFCSJXZ8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GZ9M6X8G64",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7643bde8d198fc0c74037c694679ef521ea5b5b2a2ad80a8af98e185f0e57b58",
      "question": "Will Gabriel Attal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?",
      "description": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Gabriel Attal: The named candidate advances to the second round if ranked among the top two vote-getters in the first round, per France's Interior Ministry official results by April 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "interieur.gouv.fr",
            "url": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "interieur.gouv.fr",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.11,
      "implied_probability": 0.11,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 876.759316,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KTVKVRNQV2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GZ9M6X8G64",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x2908ac428598a782fe6aa75f816558c34c5dbfe58548b2ed65870087d6780bde",
      "question": "Will Bruno Retailleau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?",
      "description": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Bruno Retailleau: The named candidate advances to the second round if ranked among the top two vote-getters in the first round, per France's Interior Ministry official results by April 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "interieur.gouv.fr",
            "url": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "interieur.gouv.fr",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.03,
      "implied_probability": 0.03,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 1774.60684,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-763CMTLM86",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GZ9M6X8G64",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x331b7ac2692ea005a79d3aad927899038d4adb4608301d5f8f84dc60a8de2418",
      "question": "Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?",
      "description": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "François Hollande: The named candidate advances to the second round if ranked among the top two vote-getters in the first round, per France's Interior Ministry official results by April 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "interieur.gouv.fr",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.09,
      "implied_probability": 0.09,
      "volume_24h_usd": 132.09,
      "volume_total_usd": 3607.1529409999994,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-79575RRY97",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GZ9M6X8G64",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x3864d6f71c4eb72bf2510af694bfcdef8aef4ddb3001f59d2b4f1fefa0499ab8",
      "question": "Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?",
      "description": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Raphaël Glucksmann: The named candidate advances to the second round if ranked among the top two vote-getters in the first round, per France's Interior Ministry official results by April 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "interieur.gouv.fr",
            "url": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "interieur.gouv.fr",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.06,
      "implied_probability": 0.06,
      "volume_24h_usd": 587.9,
      "volume_total_usd": 612.9,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DTVM91NHC8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GZ9M6X8G64",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7c9c13d0adc82f9e5aaa774e75ac1d08d181367c4cda17fa641293cec7d13bc2",
      "question": "Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?",
      "description": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Jean-Luc Mélenchon: The named candidate advances to the second round if ranked among the top two vote-getters in the first round, per France's Interior Ministry official results by April 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "interieur.gouv.fr",
            "url": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "interieur.gouv.fr",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.4,
      "implied_probability": 0.4,
      "volume_24h_usd": 9,
      "volume_total_usd": 2910.486193,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "next french presidential"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8M5M4XLQ47",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GZ9M6X8G64",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc27f87aff86fbc6e2b6f972e61592c4eb571532ac75675f966f2117199876527",
      "question": "Will Marine Tondelier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?",
      "description": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Marine Tondelier: The named candidate advances to the second round if ranked among the top two vote-getters in the first round, per France's Interior Ministry official results by April 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
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          {
            "name": "French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "interieur.gouv.fr",
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        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 2750.9052899999992,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-M71XG2GJN1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GZ9M6X8G64",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xcd35d929f89fa8be97ca1d485a968a0eba0ba91b402869581f666d302ae2d983",
      "question": "Will Fabien Roussel advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?",
      "description": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Fabien Roussel: The named candidate advances to the second round if ranked among the top two vote-getters in the first round, per France's Interior Ministry official results by April 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "interieur.gouv.fr",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.026,
      "implied_probability": 0.026,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 1123.8417409999997,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LGXS29K4S0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GZ9M6X8G64",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7ad94044984dc24b373898d09b826a3c7ac1987dbed375671c010fd947443350",
      "question": "Will Olivier Faure advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?",
      "description": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Olivier Faure: The named candidate advances to the second round if ranked among the top two vote-getters in the first round, per France's Interior Ministry official results by April 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "interieur.gouv.fr",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
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      "last_price": 0.02,
      "implied_probability": 0.02,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
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      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "next french presidential"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GZ9M6X8G64",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x24d7100acac39659c870b2976c6d7cf9cb33c346a37b1c177a53ee5a14c8f15f",
      "question": "Will Dominique de Villepin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?",
      "description": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Dominique de Villepin: The named candidate advances to the second round if ranked among the top two vote-getters in the first round, per France's Interior Ministry official results by April 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "interieur.gouv.fr",
            "url": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/)",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "interieur.gouv.fr",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.04,
      "implied_probability": 0.04,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 1114.45,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3WX60MQ892",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GZ9M6X8G64",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb019e846ccbe696c00b2ad51f3a558b430dc45dbb80547b6e66d21bade1e9df4",
      "question": "Will Ségolène Royal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?",
      "description": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Ségolène Royal: The named candidate advances to the second round if ranked among the top two vote-getters in the first round, per France's Interior Ministry official results by April 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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        "source_citation": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
        "sources": [
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/)",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "interieur.gouv.fr",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.005,
      "implied_probability": 0.005,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JQFG3TQRY7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GZ9M6X8G64",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1234e55c565ec1f6564819ce9148ec34ee1a0bd98c8431701e56921af2aa4f23",
      "question": "Will François Asselineau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?",
      "description": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "François Asselineau: The named candidate advances to the second round if ranked among the top two vote-getters in the first round, per France's Interior Ministry official results by April 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "interieur.gouv.fr",
            "url": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "interieur.gouv.fr",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.016,
      "implied_probability": 0.016,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9PQ1JLG2Z3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GZ9M6X8G64",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc239b709a972b2dc9ab5230e87483196b79ccb9fae34aa4257ecd9dbde873b5b",
      "question": "Will Clémentine Autain advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?",
      "description": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Clémentine Autain: The named candidate advances to the second round if ranked among the top two vote-getters in the first round, per France's Interior Ministry official results by April 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "interieur.gouv.fr",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.006,
      "implied_probability": 0.006,
      "volume_24h_usd": 25,
      "volume_total_usd": 1499.31871,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4XQ8KC67B3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GZ9M6X8G64",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc858adeed06c3233e962f1946f9890be4683dbe951555415ad945ca65d0283b9",
      "question": "Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?",
      "description": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan: The named candidate advances to the second round if ranked among the top two vote-getters in the first round, per France's Interior Ministry official results by April 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
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          {
            "name": "French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "interieur.gouv.fr",
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        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
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        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.013,
      "implied_probability": 0.013,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 602.3804820000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "next french presidential"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XF99TSK4Z9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GZ9M6X8G64",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xeeef274e198202339b090ad9c011dda1623332b678612edf0d812dc445992fc3",
      "question": "Will Michel Barnier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?",
      "description": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Michel Barnier: The named candidate advances to the second round if ranked among the top two vote-getters in the first round, per France's Interior Ministry official results by April 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "interieur.gouv.fr",
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        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.026,
      "implied_probability": 0.026,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 978.103111,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-255S98WF58",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GZ9M6X8G64",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb30df08f4079fe2174cfcb95c1ad97afb2753114505e04fb8028286e50e1205c",
      "question": "Will Valérie Pécresse advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?",
      "description": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Valérie Pécresse: The named candidate advances to the second round if ranked among the top two vote-getters in the first round, per France's Interior Ministry official results by April 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "interieur.gouv.fr",
            "url": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.005,
      "implied_probability": 0.005,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 1286.0599999999997,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
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      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-B2WBF8JQT3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GZ9M6X8G64",
      "platform": "polymarket",
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      "question": "Will François Bayrou advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?",
      "description": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "François Bayrou: The named candidate advances to the second round if ranked among the top two vote-getters in the first round, per France's Interior Ministry official results by April 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "interieur.gouv.fr",
            "url": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "interieur.gouv.fr",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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        "source_quality": null,
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        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": null,
      "implied_probability": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 11.59,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
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      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "next french presidential"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GHP346X1H7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GZ9M6X8G64",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa9edbe15ac8e3cf7cb204191e8ada8fe44963c94df2f40c9e4da3988d35cb9a1",
      "question": "Will Élisabeth Borne advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?",
      "description": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Élisabeth Borne: The named candidate advances to the second round if ranked among the top two vote-getters in the first round, per France's Interior Ministry official results by April 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "interieur.gouv.fr",
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        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.02,
      "implied_probability": 0.02,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1.19,
      "volume_total_usd": 3211.1888689999996,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PM9H7HNCQ9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GZ9M6X8G64",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x3b7dc116de0cb305157cf8d2e96b79bb6aaaef3f377b134ed92bb84439376d5f",
      "question": "Will Yaël Braun-Pivet advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?",
      "description": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Yaël Braun-Pivet: The named candidate advances to the second round if ranked among the top two vote-getters in the first round, per France's Interior Ministry official results by April 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "interieur.gouv.fr",
            "url": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "interieur.gouv.fr",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.013,
      "implied_probability": 0.013,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 2023.7601800000014,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Z8QVN3PWP8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GZ9M6X8G64",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf264fb2518c1f7e8b57e6be144a0bd0797fe13a697d0fb408ac7efd50d1c4acc",
      "question": "Will Jean Castex advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?",
      "description": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Jean Castex: The named candidate advances to the second round if ranked among the top two vote-getters in the first round, per France's Interior Ministry official results by April 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "interieur.gouv.fr",
            "url": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "interieur.gouv.fr",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.007,
      "implied_probability": 0.007,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 1230.3842499999998,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4SD28BKDG3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GZ9M6X8G64",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf299f84f3d666bd2068f6630d93cd1edbcc70dfeddfe54f2288397f222067473",
      "question": "Will Gérald Darmanin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?",
      "description": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Gérald Darmanin: The named candidate advances to the second round if ranked among the top two vote-getters in the first round, per France's Interior Ministry official results by April 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "interieur.gouv.fr",
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        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.012,
      "implied_probability": 0.012,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 1011.0376329999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "next french presidential"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1NCZBH5KM8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GZ9M6X8G64",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb34bc62848f79bfbd6601acd8c59806de3581eaff70ae84d673c77ad239bef26",
      "question": "Will Carole Delga advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?",
      "description": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Carole Delga: The named candidate advances to the second round if ranked among the top two vote-getters in the first round, per France's Interior Ministry official results by April 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.015,
      "implied_probability": 0.015,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 1090.1294709999997,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-X28CQNR0Q6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GZ9M6X8G64",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xbb373a2c37fba9bac01534e951f9e222de98ee7a6622cb04e24c9c8a61c3e62e",
      "question": "Will Bernard Cazeneuve advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?",
      "description": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Bernard Cazeneuve: The named candidate advances to the second round if ranked among the top two vote-getters in the first round, per France's Interior Ministry official results by April 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.031,
      "implied_probability": 0.031,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 250.92273899999998,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HN9H80FJV2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GZ9M6X8G64",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x8686cf106ee78ec2198f25590b3de19c6747c6b7748125af63fd87a279a6585f",
      "question": "Will Manuel Bompard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?",
      "description": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Manuel Bompard: The named candidate advances to the second round if ranked among the top two vote-getters in the first round, per France's Interior Ministry official results by April 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "interieur.gouv.fr",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.013,
      "implied_probability": 0.013,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 1824.846532,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SX4TKBYD76",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GZ9M6X8G64",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xaddf7f7efee2dc6ab94654d4691c48dc77da2c61d091bebb2a67d1281cbad3bd",
      "question": "Will Mathilde Panot advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?",
      "description": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Mathilde Panot: The named candidate advances to the second round if ranked among the top two vote-getters in the first round, per France's Interior Ministry official results by April 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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        "source_citation": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/)",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "interieur.gouv.fr",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XDSPMNPRS2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GZ9M6X8G64",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xfa8fef5ceb801daafd59f37066e3c91b1b3e71454dc51cefa258bd24581b2f6f",
      "question": "Will another person advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?",
      "description": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Other: The named candidate advances to the second round if ranked among the top two vote-getters in the first round, per France's Interior Ministry official results by April 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "interieur.gouv.fr",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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        "source_quality": null,
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        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.09,
      "implied_probability": 0.09,
      "volume_24h_usd": 20,
      "volume_total_usd": 111.61,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
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      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XV3FT9M328",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GZ9M6X8G64",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xfe6f3749a67eaf3265ad9d21d21cda6f3e292735aa6a0f62f41f6523cfcea20b",
      "question": "Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?",
      "description": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Sarah Knafo: The named candidate advances to the second round if ranked among the top two vote-getters in the first round, per France's Interior Ministry official results by April 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "interieur.gouv.fr",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.004,
      "implied_probability": 0.004,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 2484.765699,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "next french presidential"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Z6WW06DXC7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GZ9M6X8G64",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x936693a99e73119adfa958ca3d8c5aca5460db8d0bee652938d1c1caa2759d1e",
      "question": "Will Juan Branco advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?",
      "description": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.\n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Juan Branco: The named candidate advances to the second round if ranked among the top two vote-getters in the first round, per France's Interior Ministry official results by April 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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      "question": "Will Sébastien Lecornu advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?",
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