{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-CCLTG80K59",
  "slug": "next-google-gemini-pro-model-released-onptptpt-20260626213101460",
  "question": "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by a specified date?",
  "category": "technology",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "technology",
    "ai",
    "tech",
    "google",
    "gemini",
    "model-release"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the release date of Google's next Gemini Pro model through July 2026. Polymarket structures the event as a strip of daily binary contracts, each pricing the probability of release on a specific calendar date. Taken together, the strip functions as an implied probability distribution over the release timeline. Resolution occurs via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, with ambiguity possible if Google stages rollouts across multiple dates.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-M6XYN3BGH4",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.941,
    "implied_probability": 0.941
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RLH16TH0Q5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CCLTG80K59",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x336ea5e5d8c13503a18bcc94eba11bff93fe8240c50b48b3a9fc92c69e76e4cc",
      "question": "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on or prior to July 1, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.\n\nAny Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as \"Pro\" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.\n\nProducts labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling w",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "On or prior to July 1: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-02T06:02:19Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.\n\nAny Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as \"Pro\" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.\n\nProducts labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official information from Google",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
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        "source_of_record": "official information from Google",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 57,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.012,
      "implied_probability": 0.012,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 786.763408,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-5FC2D43EBF",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5HDY2C1JK8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CCLTG80K59",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x19f618fdb6d9b26c462c25af7d3d05019654d277261656b14a4ce445eda8980c",
      "question": "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 2, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.\n\nAny Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as \"Pro\" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.\n\nProducts labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling w",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "July 2: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-03T06:02:50Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.\n\nAny Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as \"Pro\" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.\n\nProducts labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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        "sources": [
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "official information from Google",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 57,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-D040DF3573",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "next google gemini"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZJ92D2ZPC3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CCLTG80K59",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x867afef6ecd9b9479e23946aa49e37497e6d3007d31a51b33c9fe8fc22688408",
      "question": "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 3, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.\n\nAny Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as \"Pro\" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.\n\nProducts labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling w",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "July 3: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-04T06:02:49Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.\n\nAny Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as \"Pro\" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.\n\nProducts labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official information from Google",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "official information from Google",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 57,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.003,
      "implied_probability": 0.003,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 681.5000000000002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-59C1E08FF0",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "next google gemini"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-075HTXSW67",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CCLTG80K59",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x64f153356f51fd24eca23f30504b397bfdc36151684e59c44c1af89e91b766b1",
      "question": "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 4, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.\n\nAny Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as \"Pro\" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.\n\nProducts labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling w",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "July 4: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-05T06:02:50Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.\n\nAny Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as \"Pro\" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.\n\nProducts labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
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        "sources": [
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.001,
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      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 303.05,
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      "question_id": "CMX-E36802850A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XGGJSKPQ62",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CCLTG80K59",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc2c16d8c11c1809817a01a9407d88c05df51569367c21cf892b9f8397972ff67",
      "question": "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 5, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.\n\nAny Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as \"Pro\" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.\n\nProducts labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling w",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "July 5: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-06T06:05:47Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.\n\nAny Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as \"Pro\" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.\n\nProducts labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.",
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        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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        "sources": [
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            "name": "official information from Google",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "official information from Google",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
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        "score": 57,
        "caps": [
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        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "volume_total_usd": 328.05,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "question_id": "CMX-EB689D4356",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "next google gemini"
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GRW75X2N40",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CCLTG80K59",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7a279272f8761722f3966f994001419fbe79b7c246a95938d732591f2de8df62",
      "question": "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 6, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.\n\nAny Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as \"Pro\" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.\n\nProducts labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling w",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "July 6: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-07T06:02:41Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.\n\nAny Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as \"Pro\" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.\n\nProducts labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
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            "name": "official information from Google",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "official information from Google",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "question_id": "CMX-1DC764708B",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-D2C4VS7K70",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CCLTG80K59",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf8e555b720911b8992fad028b6a2b5f59ab8091c615039cdf304bd78d98ec9e5",
      "question": "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.\n\nAny Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as \"Pro\" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.\n\nProducts labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling w",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "July 7: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-08T06:05:11Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
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    {
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      "question": "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 8, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.\n\nAny Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as \"Pro\" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.\n\nProducts labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling w",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
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      "question": "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 9, 2026?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.\n\nAny Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as \"Pro\" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.\n\nProducts labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FCSWVSZYP5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CCLTG80K59",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x3e20282bf31674c04514d28840d33d2e0142b7c3d41cd1754e7df684e210025f",
      "question": "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 12, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.\n\nAny Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as \"Pro\" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.\n\nProducts labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling w",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.\n\nAny Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as \"Pro\" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.\n\nProducts labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.",
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      "description": "This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.\n\nAny Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as \"Pro\" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.\n\nProducts labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling w",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.\n\nAny Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as \"Pro\" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.\n\nProducts labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.",
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      "tags": [
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    {
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      "question": "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 14, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.\n\nAny Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as \"Pro\" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.\n\nProducts labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling w",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
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      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
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      "question": "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 19, 2026?",
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      "description": "This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.\n\nAny Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as \"Pro\" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.\n\nProducts labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling w",
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      "question": "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 21, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.\n\nAny Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as \"Pro\" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.\n\nProducts labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling w",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "July 21: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-22T06:02:12Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.\n\nAny Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as \"Pro\" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.\n\nProducts labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.",
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        "source": null,
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MGXHT0Z2Q5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CCLTG80K59",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x6bd76ee1a183173f68ece68ad09ec9ece02ea233a09e0cdbd6db9414247edb67",
      "question": "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 22, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.\n\nAny Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as \"Pro\" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.\n\nProducts labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling w",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "July 22: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-23T06:02:40Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.\n\nAny Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as \"Pro\" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.\n\nProducts labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.",
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      "tags": [
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    {
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      "platform_market_id": "0x59ea0d6e50b8367d82a50eeac1b9f20bda4bd668fb4468e192779b9bdd8bbfbf",
      "question": "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 23, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.\n\nAny Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as \"Pro\" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.\n\nProducts labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling w",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
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      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.\n\nAny Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as \"Pro\" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.\n\nProducts labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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        "sources": [
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2HDX7ZW3N4",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x9714f93d7ced9a0f83e1338269a7dba248a1c68307e1f15245db8b2ea103edf8",
      "question": "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 24, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.\n\nAny Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as \"Pro\" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.\n\nProducts labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling w",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.\n\nAny Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as \"Pro\" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.\n\nProducts labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.",
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      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6422V35J60",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CCLTG80K59",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd8c0999b6e6dae80be46367a80a2cd5561bb06523cbe5774d95538041736918b",
      "question": "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 25, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.\n\nAny Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as \"Pro\" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.\n\nProducts labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling w",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "July 25: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.\n\nAny Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as \"Pro\" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.\n\nProducts labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-70519906T2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CCLTG80K59",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5bbb0eda31029a27324f695ff4ec5a85d23c34ba32be97df71353bc1d53d1517",
      "question": "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 26, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.\n\nAny Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as \"Pro\" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.\n\nProducts labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling w",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
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      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.\n\nAny Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as \"Pro\" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.\n\nProducts labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-90T5K40FR6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CCLTG80K59",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x177d49e638779bd103c39f092e6ff8a09f3e654e177f17b568ff7893717fc5f7",
      "question": "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 27, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.\n\nAny Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as \"Pro\" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.\n\nProducts labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling w",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.\n\nAny Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as \"Pro\" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.\n\nProducts labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0M1X334828",
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