{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-H7491LT1G4",
  "slug": "next-high-representative-for-bosnia-in-2026-20260705194510727",
  "question": "Will there be a new High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina by the end of 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "bosnia-herzegovina",
    "high-representative",
    "international-appointments",
    "politics",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which individual the Peace Implementation Council Steering Board appoints as High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina by end of 2026. Each Polymarket contract prices a named candidate's appointment probability as a binary outcome. All contracts resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against the Steering Board's official decision, published on the Office of the High Representative website. A \"no appointment in 2026\" contract also trades, capturing the probability of the position remaining vacant through year-end.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-MSW69BV6C8",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.54,
    "implied_probability": 0.54
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KST6F6W974",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-H7491LT1G4",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xd966635574c45de107277d733c5e0d3496508e8c673c9be0d2185f80aecd715f",
      "question": "Will Antonio Zanardi Landi be the next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by Peace Implementation Council Steering Board. Any acting, interim, or caretaker High Representative will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such High Representative is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No HR in 2026”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Peac",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Antonio Zanardi Landi: The Peace Implementation Council Steering Board's official appointment decision, published on the Office of the High Representative website by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, resolves whether a permanent High Representative was appointed.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by Peace Implementation Council Steering Board. Any acting, interim, or caretaker High Representative will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such High Representative is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No HR in 2026”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Peace Implementation Council Steering Board and the Office of the High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.ohr.int/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ohr.int/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ohr.int",
            "url": "https://www.ohr.int/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Peace Implementation Council Steering Board",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "Office of the High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Peace Implementation Council Steering Board and the Office of the High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.1,
      "implied_probability": 0.1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 96.43,
      "volume_total_usd": 3816.3417389999995,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HSVCWFWV32",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-H7491LT1G4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x15a12700cc4ee1063eb38042dc74f6f2a7728962979ad6a201b344920eacf2fa",
      "question": "Will René Troccaz be the next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by Peace Implementation Council Steering Board. Any acting, interim, or caretaker High Representative will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such High Representative is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No HR in 2026”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Peac",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "René Troccaz: The Peace Implementation Council Steering Board's official appointment decision, published on the Office of the High Representative website by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, resolves whether a permanent High Representative was appointed.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by Peace Implementation Council Steering Board. Any acting, interim, or caretaker High Representative will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such High Representative is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No HR in 2026”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Peace Implementation Council Steering Board and the Office of the High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.ohr.int/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.05,
      "implied_probability": 0.05,
      "volume_24h_usd": 100.39,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-P68JPF3NV4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-H7491LT1G4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xbe9fd0d90d571c89e2e2c7717dc06c0602ef1cd1afb171ca789e532044a73cf9",
      "question": "Will Peter Sørensen be the next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by Peace Implementation Council Steering Board. Any acting, interim, or caretaker High Representative will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such High Representative is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No HR in 2026”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Peac",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Peter Sørensen: The Peace Implementation Council Steering Board's official appointment decision, published on the Office of the High Representative website by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, resolves whether a permanent High Representative was appointed.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by Peace Implementation Council Steering Board. Any acting, interim, or caretaker High Representative will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such High Representative is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No HR in 2026”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Peace Implementation Council Steering Board and the Office of the High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.ohr.int/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Peace Implementation Council Steering Board and the Office of the High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina",
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        "source_quality": null,
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        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.12,
      "implied_probability": 0.12,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 158.233332,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-29X7GTRXK3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-H7491LT1G4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x65291d800a58f8070aa2be07afd4908df0b06071c1ddc6f9df4ef3b38bee14ce",
      "question": "Will Louis J. Crishock be the next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by Peace Implementation Council Steering Board. Any acting, interim, or caretaker High Representative will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such High Representative is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No HR in 2026”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Peac",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Louis J. Crishock: The Peace Implementation Council Steering Board's official appointment decision, published on the Office of the High Representative website by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, resolves whether a permanent High Representative was appointed.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by Peace Implementation Council Steering Board. Any acting, interim, or caretaker High Representative will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such High Representative is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No HR in 2026”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Peace Implementation Council Steering Board and the Office of the High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.ohr.int/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source": null,
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        "source_citation": "https://www.ohr.int/",
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        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.011,
      "implied_probability": 0.011,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 275.27759299999997,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-L5H1M2VCX5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-H7491LT1G4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7ad6c7707a690a59154222a726ca09637a5bcce93169217f12d9f26299a24d66",
      "question": "Will William Ruger be the next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by Peace Implementation Council Steering Board. Any acting, interim, or caretaker High Representative will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such High Representative is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No HR in 2026”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Peac",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "William Ruger: The Peace Implementation Council Steering Board's official appointment decision, published on the Office of the High Representative website by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, resolves whether a permanent High Representative was appointed.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by Peace Implementation Council Steering Board. Any acting, interim, or caretaker High Representative will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such High Representative is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No HR in 2026”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Peace Implementation Council Steering Board and the Office of the High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.ohr.int/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
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        "caps": [],
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      "last_price": 0.014,
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      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 230.205448,
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      "tags": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MSW69BV6C8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-H7491LT1G4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x8473649eee1da24c9f13e479cce8c69a36b2d96b0833016579f7bab963cd7445",
      "question": "Will there be no next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by Peace Implementation Council Steering Board. Any acting, interim, or caretaker High Representative will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such High Representative is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No HR in 2026”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Peac",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "No HR in 2026: The Peace Implementation Council Steering Board's official appointment decision, published on the Office of the High Representative website by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, resolves whether a permanent High Representative was appointed.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by Peace Implementation Council Steering Board. Any acting, interim, or caretaker High Representative will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such High Representative is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No HR in 2026”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Peace Implementation Council Steering Board and the Office of the High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.ohr.int/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
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        "source_citation": "https://www.ohr.int/",
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        "caps": [],
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      "last_price": 0.54,
      "implied_probability": 0.54,
      "volume_24h_usd": 11.978259,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-73PW2GSGX0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-H7491LT1G4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf362181636476efd13d1ca33e997551f3a21c521416fc0e92687d0f8b67c5999",
      "question": "Will Maurizio Massari be the next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by Peace Implementation Council Steering Board. Any acting, interim, or caretaker High Representative will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such High Representative is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No HR in 2026”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Peac",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Maurizio Massari: The Peace Implementation Council Steering Board's official appointment decision, published on the Office of the High Representative website by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, resolves whether a permanent High Representative was appointed.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by Peace Implementation Council Steering Board. Any acting, interim, or caretaker High Representative will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such High Representative is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No HR in 2026”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Peace Implementation Council Steering Board and the Office of the High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.ohr.int/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ohr.int/",
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            "url": "https://www.ohr.int/",
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          {
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