{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-X4XRMN8RJ9",
  "slug": "next-premier-of-quebec-594",
  "question": "Will Bernard Drainville be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "elections",
    "politics",
    "quebec",
    "canada",
    "2026",
    "executive-leadership"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets price the outcome of the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election. Each Polymarket contract isolates a single candidate's probability of becoming Premier. The markets are mutually exclusive; collectively they span the full candidate field. Resolution follows formal appointment by the National Assembly of Quebec, verified through Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-GX9HD8Y1V2",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.01,
    "implied_probability": 0.01
  },
  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-600YWV2268",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X4XRMN8RJ9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa43974113a83acd2f2477e9561bc4a18baac2a3ff6afb087cd2e5662e19f9231",
      "question": "Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?",
      "description": "The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official infor",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The National Assembly of Quebec formally appoints the Premier of Quebec following the October 5, 2026 general election.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-05T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-05T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [
          "uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.165,
      "implied_probability": 0.165,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1709.950605,
      "volume_total_usd": 12973.908353000006,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-64LDM8KQD8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X4XRMN8RJ9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5e459406c324de6bb2fb818ab9b8c4dba6149b48824fb45fc24ca521d77c08b4",
      "question": "Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?",
      "description": "The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official infor",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The National Assembly of Quebec formally appoints the Premier of Quebec following the October 5, 2026 general election.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-05T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-05T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
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        "source_mechanism": null,
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.14,
      "implied_probability": 0.14,
      "volume_24h_usd": 7.142856,
      "volume_total_usd": 6562.116985999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
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      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-D7M0RT9B27",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X4XRMN8RJ9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xcb497769b1fa2c2d141b60c700b3a44589028d06bb3927f05cb8d77313c065f6",
      "question": "Will Sol Zanetti be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?",
      "description": "The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official infor",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The National Assembly of Quebec formally appoints the Premier of Quebec following the October 5, 2026 general election.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-05T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-05T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.003,
      "implied_probability": 0.003,
      "volume_24h_usd": 336.6,
      "volume_total_usd": 5678.740311999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "next premier quebec"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GX9HD8Y1V2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X4XRMN8RJ9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x0b6aa768748d843dd14ddc58618e807e97fc1ed4ca9fd82f17cb2a4d8981df26",
      "question": "Will Bernard Drainville be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?",
      "description": "The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official infor",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The National Assembly of Quebec formally appoints the Premier of Quebec following the October 5, 2026 general election.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-05T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-05T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
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        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 100,
      "volume_total_usd": 17665.31266600001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "next premier quebec"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-M9FN503DG5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X4XRMN8RJ9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc7b0c43a506942c9a13b37330efa5bdfcc056acfc8da984f604da82f35505973",
      "question": "Will Éric Duhaime be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?",
      "description": "The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official infor",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The National Assembly of Quebec formally appoints the Premier of Quebec following the October 5, 2026 general election.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-05T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-05T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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        "sources": null,
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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        "score": 72,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": 500,
      "volume_total_usd": 8205.871038000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RKQBMLQ7N8",
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      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xce9914e7ecc8e40350a68237ebbd5bc3b3233df935227714f6eed25cc220213a",
      "question": "Will Ruba Ghazal be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?",
      "description": "The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official infor",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The National Assembly of Quebec formally appoints the Premier of Quebec following the October 5, 2026 general election.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-05T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-05T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
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        "source_quality": null,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 248.933333,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XNWVG47657",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X4XRMN8RJ9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x61034413681fd41ffa301df1d1b9d530b0011ec756f526f9de7d21799b27c825",
      "question": "Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?",
      "description": "The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official infor",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The National Assembly of Quebec formally appoints the Premier of Quebec following the October 5, 2026 general election.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-05T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-05T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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        "caps": [
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-X4XRMN8RJ9",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}