{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-X4XRMN8RJ9",
  "slug": "next-premier-of-quebec-594",
  "question": "Will a new Premier of Quebec be elected by the next Quebec general election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "elections",
    "politics",
    "quebec",
    "canada",
    "2026",
    "executive-leadership"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets price the outcome of the 2026 Quebec general election, specifically who becomes Premier. Each Polymarket contract isolates a named candidate as a binary outcome. All contracts resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against official appointment records. The deadline for appointment is June 30, 2027, per resolution terms.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-GX9HD8Y1V2",
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    "implied_probability": 0.001,
    "as_of": "2026-09-04T16:00:21.171Z"
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  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GX9HD8Y1V2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X4XRMN8RJ9",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x0b6aa768748d843dd14ddc58618e807e97fc1ed4ca9fd82f17cb2a4d8981df26",
      "question": "Will Bernard Drainville be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?",
      "description": "The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official infor",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Bernard Drainville: The named individual appointed as Premier of Quebec following the 2026 general election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, per official Quebec government sources.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-05T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-05T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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            "name": "official information from the Government of Quebec",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "price_as_of": "2026-09-04T16:00:21.171Z",
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      "volume_total_usd": 61017.073666000026,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-600YWV2268",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X4XRMN8RJ9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa43974113a83acd2f2477e9561bc4a18baac2a3ff6afb087cd2e5662e19f9231",
      "question": "Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?",
      "description": "The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official infor",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Christine Fréchette: The named individual appointed as Premier of Quebec following the 2026 general election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, per official Quebec government sources.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-05T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-05T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-64LDM8KQD8",
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      "question": "Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?",
      "description": "The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official infor",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Charles Milliard: The named individual appointed as Premier of Quebec following the 2026 general election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, per official Quebec government sources.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-05T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-05T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RKQBMLQ7N8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X4XRMN8RJ9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xce9914e7ecc8e40350a68237ebbd5bc3b3233df935227714f6eed25cc220213a",
      "question": "Will Ruba Ghazal be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?",
      "description": "The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official infor",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Ruba Ghazal: The named individual appointed as Premier of Quebec following the 2026 general election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, per official Quebec government sources.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-05T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-05T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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        "sources": [
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-04T16:00:21.171Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 36738.40349900002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
        "next premier quebec"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XNWVG47657",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X4XRMN8RJ9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x61034413681fd41ffa301df1d1b9d530b0011ec756f526f9de7d21799b27c825",
      "question": "Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?",
      "description": "The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official infor",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Paul St-Pierre Plamondon: The named individual appointed as Premier of Quebec following the 2026 general election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, per official Quebec government sources.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-05T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-05T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "sources": [
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "score": 74,
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      "last_price": 0.63,
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      "price_as_of": "2026-09-06T05:00:35.185Z",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-M9FN503DG5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X4XRMN8RJ9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc7b0c43a506942c9a13b37330efa5bdfcc056acfc8da984f604da82f35505973",
      "question": "Will Éric Duhaime be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?",
      "description": "The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official infor",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Éric Duhaime: The named individual appointed as Premier of Quebec following the 2026 general election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, per official Quebec government sources.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-05T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-05T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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            "name": "official information from the Government of Quebec",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 74,
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.001,
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      "price_as_of": "2026-08-30T21:00:46.529Z",
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      "tags": [
        "next premier quebec"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-D7M0RT9B27",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X4XRMN8RJ9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xcb497769b1fa2c2d141b60c700b3a44589028d06bb3927f05cb8d77313c065f6",
      "question": "Will Sol Zanetti be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?",
      "description": "The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official infor",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Sol Zanetti: The named individual appointed as Premier of Quebec following the 2026 general election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, per official Quebec government sources.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-05T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-05T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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            "name": "official information from the Government of Quebec",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
        "next premier quebec"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TKVNZ4G4L8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X4XRMN8RJ9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x0384b7d4c9017403e7f1300be34c12168fe962cd680ce308f02615c7066945b8",
      "question": "Will someone else be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Other: The named individual appointed as Premier of Quebec following the 2026 general election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, per official Quebec government sources.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-05T00:00:00Z",
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      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
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      "question": "Will Person A be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-10-05T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-05T00:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
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      "question": "Will Person B be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?",
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        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
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      "question": "Will Person C be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?",
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        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
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      "question": "Will Person D be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?",
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        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
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      "question": "Will Person E be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?",
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      "question": "Will Person F be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?",
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        "rules_raw": "The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
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      "question": "Will Person I be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?",
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