{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-JS0LYJRQ64",
  "slug": "next-prime-minister-of-romania-732",
  "question": "Who will be the next Prime Minister of Romania?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "romania",
    "executive-succession",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which named individual will next assume Romania's Prime Minister office via Presidential appointment. Polymarket lists individual candidates as binary yes/no contracts, resolved via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. The markets are structurally parallel: each contract prices one candidate's probability of appointment independently. Resolution requires confirmed assumption of office, not merely nomination, by December 31, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-32MM881NV6",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.131,
    "implied_probability": 0.131
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  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-S6FB5XP445",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JS0LYJRQ64",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x3c513526979c384afff854809b6415f15d3e63d6a9aadcebb94ce2ccfbd84779",
      "question": "Will Mugur Isărescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Mugur Isărescu: The named candidate officially assumes Romania's Prime Minister office following Presidential appointment and Parliamentary confidence vote by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, per UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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        "sources": [
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            "name": "Government of Romania",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 62.553999999999995,
      "volume_total_usd": 48630.125019000014,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BRYHG1K122",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JS0LYJRQ64",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xcf18ec177d891f1ef83de4d8ac6a4bccd0d1310281c64cc874d70c1885915a0a",
      "question": "Will Mircea Geoană be the next Prime Minister of Romania?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Mircea Geoană: The named candidate officially assumes Romania's Prime Minister office following Presidential appointment and Parliamentary confidence vote by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, per UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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        "sources": [
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-H8FJQF7HJ5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JS0LYJRQ64",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x9e64a023fd819710361ff4a5f4eb4241644bfd85764437d4b3b1a91bbcd51063",
      "question": "Will Anca Dragu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Anca Dragu: The named candidate officially assumes Romania's Prime Minister office following Presidential appointment and Parliamentary confidence vote by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, per UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-05-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-05-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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        "sources": [
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
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        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-58G9J59VT7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JS0LYJRQ64",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf1dd7ae36e34d287467618748a8c0ba7818393e3d5677dfa67f83d0547d44684",
      "question": "Will Lucian Isar be the next Prime Minister of Romania?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Lucian Isar: The named candidate officially assumes Romania's Prime Minister office following Presidential appointment and Parliamentary confidence vote by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, per UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
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            "name": "Government of Romania",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 58948.45887599997,
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DGKYDYYHL5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JS0LYJRQ64",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x6d2afae5d0ce636cc170d2b7c8ec7a7211e64a0e015a87519c1445810c77b7b5",
      "question": "Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Cătălin Predoiu: The named candidate officially assumes Romania's Prime Minister office following Presidential appointment and Parliamentary confidence vote by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, per UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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        "sources": [
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.014,
      "implied_probability": 0.014,
      "volume_24h_usd": 49.37,
      "volume_total_usd": 148333.1963619998,
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-32MM881NV6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JS0LYJRQ64",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x12088740bcada66cff2875b94d76b34ce4a3cc12fbe775fd65c48eb60e6fbe70",
      "question": "Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Sorin Grindeanu: The named candidate officially assumes Romania's Prime Minister office following Presidential appointment and Parliamentary confidence vote by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, per UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 74,
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.131,
      "implied_probability": 0.131,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1777.128846,
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MXLD5LV9Z5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JS0LYJRQ64",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x03c4888efcde763200fa880ba66b0e7b7beded9505989421ed988121f7321b1b",
      "question": "Will George Simion be the next Prime Minister of Romania?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "George Simion: The named candidate officially assumes Romania's Prime Minister office following Presidential appointment and Parliamentary confidence vote by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, per UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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      "rcg": {
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.011,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 57991.37593999998,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6PQTC225F7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JS0LYJRQ64",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x18d813a320236840e6b560e9da3bbad71d5dce7584f26ab0105e7a28baffbef0",
      "question": "Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Ilie Bolojan: The named candidate officially assumes Romania's Prime Minister office following Presidential appointment and Parliamentary confidence vote by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, per UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JS0LYJRQ64",
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      "question": "Will Marcel Ciolacu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Marcel Ciolacu: The named candidate officially assumes Romania's Prime Minister office following Presidential appointment and Parliamentary confidence vote by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, per UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "question": "Will Alexandru Rafila be the next Prime Minister of Romania?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Alexandru Rafila: The named candidate officially assumes Romania's Prime Minister office following Presidential appointment and Parliamentary confidence vote by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, per UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "question": "Will Sebastian Burduja be the next Prime Minister of Romania?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Sebastian Burduja: The named candidate officially assumes Romania's Prime Minister office following Presidential appointment and Parliamentary confidence vote by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, per UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
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      "question": "Will Ionuț Dumitru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Ionuț Dumitru: The named candidate officially assumes Romania's Prime Minister office following Presidential appointment and Parliamentary confidence vote by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, per UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
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      "question": "Will Elena Lasconi be the next Prime Minister of Romania?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Elena Lasconi: The named candidate officially assumes Romania's Prime Minister office following Presidential appointment and Parliamentary confidence vote by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, per UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
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      "question": "Will Cătălin Drulă be the next Prime Minister of Romania?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Cătălin Drulă: The named candidate officially assumes Romania's Prime Minister office following Presidential appointment and Parliamentary confidence vote by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, per UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
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      "question": "Will Vasile Dîncu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Vasile Dîncu: The named candidate officially assumes Romania's Prime Minister office following Presidential appointment and Parliamentary confidence vote by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, per UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JS0LYJRQ64",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd2d99fa77e1dd9cd6c63548e5a200b4f21fad976c6527a730b424322a400b563",
      "question": "Will Dacian Cioloș be the next Prime Minister of Romania?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Dacian Cioloș: The named candidate officially assumes Romania's Prime Minister office following Presidential appointment and Parliamentary confidence vote by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, per UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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        "sources": [
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": 0.001,
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      "volume_total_usd": 65007.662315,
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JS0LYJRQ64",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xfcafd10171dd94d77f66c2f2d9b071794ba36d2e7c50211e83007bb11ec01b5b",
      "question": "Will Emil Boc be the next Prime Minister of Romania?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Emil Boc: The named candidate officially assumes Romania's Prime Minister office following Presidential appointment and Parliamentary confidence vote by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, per UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "sources": [
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "caps": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JS0LYJRQ64",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xfd21a82b0688d2eb74266e0abc071dac267cbb666b4868bf78165ae911e2afdf",
      "question": "Will Dominic Fritz be the next Prime Minister of Romania?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Dominic Fritz: The named candidate officially assumes Romania's Prime Minister office following Presidential appointment and Parliamentary confidence vote by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, per UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "question": "Will Raluca Turcan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Raluca Turcan: The named candidate officially assumes Romania's Prime Minister office following Presidential appointment and Parliamentary confidence vote by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, per UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x716b3dc9ea643518a820b2323f92fecfccf4aee2fef8e77402a3db3849cd07f7",
      "question": "Will Lucian Croitoru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Lucian Croitoru: The named candidate officially assumes Romania's Prime Minister office following Presidential appointment and Parliamentary confidence vote by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, per UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JS0LYJRQ64",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xf82b579cf848070760c7f5d3c8b3c0fc284159c6f1b98e0dfefe5a6dfdd58aa8",
      "question": "Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Delia Velculescu: The named candidate officially assumes Romania's Prime Minister office following Presidential appointment and Parliamentary confidence vote by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, per UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JS0LYJRQ64",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x2c555f7fe391e54f3f2ecd9cf7affc9bd2a0f63edb3c60d96ea78c11764bf6f0",
      "question": "Will Nicolae Ciucă be the next Prime Minister of Romania?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Nicolae Ciucă: The named candidate officially assumes Romania's Prime Minister office following Presidential appointment and Parliamentary confidence vote by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, per UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
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      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JS0LYJRQ64",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x20a47932aa2262d7f242f6e287383abbeb8b341ea746e1f4ca915e92f89bf684",
      "question": "Will Hunor Kelemen be the next Prime Minister of Romania?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Hunor Kelemen: The named candidate officially assumes Romania's Prime Minister office following Presidential appointment and Parliamentary confidence vote by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, per UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
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      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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      "volume_total_usd": 82438.22918699999,
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-X456CPC118",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JS0LYJRQ64",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x94df411f98d858c3d9748cf35e61e7fe76a71d8d21c5c47ab81c3054a926afd4",
      "question": "Will Calin Georgescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Calin Georgescu: The named candidate officially assumes Romania's Prime Minister office following Presidential appointment and Parliamentary confidence vote by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, per UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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        "sources": [
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": 0.01,
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      "volume_total_usd": 60984.46844700001,
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JS0LYJRQ64",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x9b1e15b6a442095e549ddddbb2d1c7da16ec17d841741dc237434996a7103a52",
      "question": "Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Radu Burnete: The named candidate officially assumes Romania's Prime Minister office following Presidential appointment and Parliamentary confidence vote by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, per UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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            "url": null,
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JS0LYJRQ64",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x62c5bc7742aba8792394eb23d24b4de0bcc7c16427977fe9a41dea0caa2396f3",
      "question": "Will Șerban Matei be the next Prime Minister of Romania?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Șerban Matei: The named candidate officially assumes Romania's Prime Minister office following Presidential appointment and Parliamentary confidence vote by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, per UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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            "url": null,
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JS0LYJRQ64",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xabc341cc5fefcc1611837576594d131336784fa96210008da4e2004123917a84",
      "question": "Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Alexandru Nazare: The named candidate officially assumes Romania's Prime Minister office following Presidential appointment and Parliamentary confidence vote by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, per UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa6483210e84d0b7709b1476a0cb9d14abb9b40a050c511584718ad563ad5db3e",
      "question": "Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Alexandru Rogobete: The named candidate officially assumes Romania's Prime Minister office following Presidential appointment and Parliamentary confidence vote by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, per UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JS0LYJRQ64",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x615b25977a01550627d19a6a6b67ab0d1958c47294f94f3a18d072dedeaa6260",
      "question": "Will Dragoș Pîslaru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Dragoș Pîslaru: The named candidate officially assumes Romania's Prime Minister office following Presidential appointment and Parliamentary confidence vote by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, per UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JS0LYJRQ64",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1a1f193e487a7a9f1c1c806a9e9d4f735240be63776f79da8053e9f493a733ca",
      "question": "Will Traian Basescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Traian Basescu: The named candidate officially assumes Romania's Prime Minister office following Presidential appointment and Parliamentary confidence vote by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, per UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JS0LYJRQ64",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xe30d1d95fa104e93dbb86a508724e4e29b9287a91e517e7a8b4f105dddd8fae1",
      "question": "Will Dan Motreanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Dan Motreanu: The named candidate officially assumes Romania's Prime Minister office following Presidential appointment and Parliamentary confidence vote by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, per UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JS0LYJRQ64",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x9f4b6fbf5e28a38bed68892fcc4c74a4ddc61cff87499dfb333cc8d346a2545e",
      "question": "Will Victor Ponta be the next Prime Minister of Romania?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Victor Ponta: The named candidate officially assumes Romania's Prime Minister office following Presidential appointment and Parliamentary confidence vote by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, per UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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            "url": null,
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "platform_market_id": "0x219c8371933c711cadd0edeb5f5d2d5de6665d087ecb73101d065f4725a35c20",
      "question": "Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Ciprian Ciucu: The named candidate officially assumes Romania's Prime Minister office following Presidential appointment and Parliamentary confidence vote by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, per UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "question": "Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Eugen Tomac: The named candidate officially assumes Romania's Prime Minister office following Presidential appointment and Parliamentary confidence vote by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, per UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
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      "question": "Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Siegfried Mureșan: The named candidate officially assumes Romania's Prime Minister office following Presidential appointment and Parliamentary confidence vote by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, per UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
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      "question": "Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Adrian Veștea: The named candidate officially assumes Romania's Prime Minister office following Presidential appointment and Parliamentary confidence vote by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, per UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "question": "Will Person O be the next Prime Minister of Romania?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Person O: The named candidate officially assumes Romania's Prime Minister office following Presidential appointment and Parliamentary confidence vote by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, per UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "question": "Will Person P be the next Prime Minister of Romania?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Person P: The named candidate officially assumes Romania's Prime Minister office following Presidential appointment and Parliamentary confidence vote by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, per UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "question": "Will Person Q be the next Prime Minister of Romania?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Person Q: The named candidate officially assumes Romania's Prime Minister office following Presidential appointment and Parliamentary confidence vote by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, per UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
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        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "applied_factors": 6
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