{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-D9KHM803Y2",
  "slug": "next-prime-minister-of-spain-20260625005215443",
  "question": "Who will be the next Prime Minister of Spain?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "spain",
    "executive-leadership",
    "2028"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which individual assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain following a parliamentary vote of confidence, resolving by March 2028. All 58 contracts are candidate-specific binary outcomes on Polymarket, each asking whether a named figure secures the premiership. Resolution requires the named candidate to assume office, verified through Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. Candidate proliferation across left, right, and regionalist blocs reflects genuine coalition uncertainty in Spanish parliamentary politics.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-8LMCT8LRG4",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.81,
    "implied_probability": 0.81
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HQ2L873G10",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-D9KHM803Y2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x91e20860241f7c90fcff5ec348a68f953bd66a02d5662ac26cab32ac1f904be6",
      "question": "Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Pedro Sánchez: The named candidate assumes office as Prime Minister of Spain following a parliamentary vote of confidence and formal swearing-in by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, per UMA Optimistic Oracle determination.",
      "close_at": "2028-03-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-03-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
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            "name": "Government of Spain",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_mechanism": null,
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.138,
      "implied_probability": 0.138,
      "volume_24h_usd": 74.84857,
      "volume_total_usd": 11190.978374000002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RCGDVP1RL9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-D9KHM803Y2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x48e2b67721830dd1a9e187827b6ec4dc8d3f41732f12ce9f44717b187001bb3a",
      "question": "Will María Jesús Montero be the next Prime Minister of Spain?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "María Jesús Montero: The named candidate assumes office as Prime Minister of Spain following a parliamentary vote of confidence and formal swearing-in by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, per UMA Optimistic Oracle determination.",
      "close_at": "2028-03-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-03-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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            "url": null,
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
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        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": 20,
      "volume_total_usd": 3239.986,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NFQ7Z6LKH8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-D9KHM803Y2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1cfe69633994ad8c4e41177ad43e0a9fd02d057b43edfc11f2966a22af3d38e6",
      "question": "Will Yolanda Díaz be the next Prime Minister of Spain?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Yolanda Díaz: The named candidate assumes office as Prime Minister of Spain following a parliamentary vote of confidence and formal swearing-in by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, per UMA Optimistic Oracle determination.",
      "close_at": "2028-03-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-03-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": 20,
      "volume_total_usd": 2387.9230000000002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1TRGYKBVR8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-D9KHM803Y2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x2073548754879c64346bbe17313bb8abc871505b224560e98b276ce7d8187179",
      "question": "Will Ernest Urtasun be the next Prime Minister of Spain?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Ernest Urtasun: The named candidate assumes office as Prime Minister of Spain following a parliamentary vote of confidence and formal swearing-in by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, per UMA Optimistic Oracle determination.",
      "close_at": "2028-03-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-03-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
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            "name": "Government of Spain",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": 20,
      "volume_total_usd": 2478.97425,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TWTNDXC334",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-D9KHM803Y2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x3be183812fb3f109c4f45135639b657a7d28f3e02a5b0d3e077ddc0684ab9b64",
      "question": "Will Aitor Esteban be the next Prime Minister of Spain?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Aitor Esteban: The named candidate assumes office as Prime Minister of Spain following a parliamentary vote of confidence and formal swearing-in by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, per UMA Optimistic Oracle determination.",
      "close_at": "2028-03-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-03-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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        "sources": [
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            "name": "Government of Spain",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 20,
      "volume_total_usd": 2125.587407,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FGZ0Z33W66",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-D9KHM803Y2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd3b68cd44f465f6c4090950f247368148292a6cedea926032c846f952015a4b9",
      "question": "Will Miguel Tellado be the next Prime Minister of Spain?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Miguel Tellado: The named candidate assumes office as Prime Minister of Spain following a parliamentary vote of confidence and formal swearing-in by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, per UMA Optimistic Oracle determination.",
      "close_at": "2028-03-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-03-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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        "sources": [
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            "name": "Government of Spain",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "name": "credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": 20,
      "volume_total_usd": 3192.9519999999998,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
        "next prime minister"
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BZVSF5CHF7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-D9KHM803Y2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd8c72c47641fae7e1517f40489d242714724ae408d4c744b88ff775709362a37",
      "question": "Will Ester Muñoz be the next Prime Minister of Spain?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Ester Muñoz: The named candidate assumes office as Prime Minister of Spain following a parliamentary vote of confidence and formal swearing-in by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, per UMA Optimistic Oracle determination.",
      "close_at": "2028-03-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-03-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
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            "name": "Government of Spain",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": 20,
      "volume_total_usd": 2447.2540490000006,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
        "next prime minister"
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8LMCT8LRG4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-D9KHM803Y2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x97c0b1316b8d9ba677414e8a682948e7560c1af60fc239b085a68cc467c21f23",
      "question": "Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Alberto Núñez Feijóo: The named candidate assumes office as Prime Minister of Spain following a parliamentary vote of confidence and formal swearing-in by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, per UMA Optimistic Oracle determination.",
      "close_at": "2028-03-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-03-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.81,
      "implied_probability": 0.81,
      "volume_24h_usd": 20,
      "volume_total_usd": 20739.963322000003,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1206TCBFQ0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-D9KHM803Y2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xeab5e759a35d841c311bd90ca8c3e58d960927ef2af53143e49e8293e8b5258d",
      "question": "Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Santiago Abascal: The named candidate assumes office as Prime Minister of Spain following a parliamentary vote of confidence and formal swearing-in by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, per UMA Optimistic Oracle determination.",
      "close_at": "2028-03-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-03-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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        "sources": [
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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      "rcg": {
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        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": 0.017,
      "volume_24h_usd": 20,
      "volume_total_usd": 3407.931163,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WL32YYPFL0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-D9KHM803Y2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x3b72e782571fb9b02e12f63cd94ff816febb227cbd92559e4cf6572096304003",
      "question": "Will Pepa Millán be the next Prime Minister of Spain?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Pepa Millán: The named candidate assumes office as Prime Minister of Spain following a parliamentary vote of confidence and formal swearing-in by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, per UMA Optimistic Oracle determination.",
      "close_at": "2028-03-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-03-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source": null,
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        "sources": [
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            "url": null,
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "implied_probability": 0.002,
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      "volume_total_usd": 2486.589049,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-D9KHM803Y2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x8d2ef61db7529c08ae6defba6e0c3cf7b1c90a9905c248b4a901f4b51a2615e1",
      "question": "Will Cuca Gamarra be the next Prime Minister of Spain?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Cuca Gamarra: The named candidate assumes office as Prime Minister of Spain following a parliamentary vote of confidence and formal swearing-in by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, per UMA Optimistic Oracle determination.",
      "close_at": "2028-03-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-03-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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            "url": null,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HDPPPMKJD4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-D9KHM803Y2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x781b27ccb5dc3c36250b33124b922d984b9ed8180b4620fd8630ea8306ed2dbf",
      "question": "Will Borja Sémper be the next Prime Minister of Spain?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Borja Sémper: The named candidate assumes office as Prime Minister of Spain following a parliamentary vote of confidence and formal swearing-in by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, per UMA Optimistic Oracle determination.",
      "close_at": "2028-03-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-03-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "score": 74,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6WBL12XKY8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-D9KHM803Y2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa692ca8cf219fc5c2da62cfd53d52d9db0e3aa956508e803185c5e4c3f95e5c0",
      "question": "Will Carles Puigdemont be the next Prime Minister of Spain?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Carles Puigdemont: The named candidate assumes office as Prime Minister of Spain following a parliamentary vote of confidence and formal swearing-in by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, per UMA Optimistic Oracle determination.",
      "close_at": "2028-03-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-03-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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            "url": null,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 20,
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-94BL1SXGG2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-D9KHM803Y2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x705aef63167b27a2ab5a9b4a59869b9d792a561fc1151642a2290909f7c055ed",
      "question": "Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Isabel Díaz Ayuso: The named candidate assumes office as Prime Minister of Spain following a parliamentary vote of confidence and formal swearing-in by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, per UMA Optimistic Oracle determination.",
      "close_at": "2028-03-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-03-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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            "url": null,
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "applied_factors": 6
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NKKPTG1R20",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-D9KHM803Y2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc574bd2c370e346f31f9138a6466ea9ca9398dfc7c14f9ff14e4bae1b5ad36b0",
      "question": "Will Carlos Cuerpo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Carlos Cuerpo: The named candidate assumes office as Prime Minister of Spain following a parliamentary vote of confidence and formal swearing-in by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, per UMA Optimistic Oracle determination.",
      "close_at": "2028-03-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-03-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "volume_total_usd": 1799.554,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1XCR3R5HW6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-D9KHM803Y2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
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      "question": "Will Óscar Puente be the next Prime Minister of Spain?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary ",
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      "close_at": "2028-03-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-03-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
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      "close_at": "2028-03-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-03-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
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      "close_at": "2028-03-31T23:59:00Z",
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      "close_at": "2028-03-31T23:59:00Z",
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      "question": "Will Person I be the next Prime Minister of Spain?",
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