{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-NVWMTVF6T7",
  "slug": "next-prime-minister-of-the-cook-islands-20260715193547852",
  "question": "Who will be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "cook-islands",
    "leadership",
    "oceania",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track who will be sworn in as Prime Minister of the Cook Islands after the August 12, 2026 parliamentary election. Polymarket lists named candidates individually, Mark Brown, Tina Browne, and Teariki Heather, plus placeholder slots for unnamed entrants. Each binary contract resolves via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against the official swearing-in record. Coalition dynamics in small Pacific parliaments can shift outcomes rapidly after vote counts, making post-election formation the key resolution risk.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-J06GT87HV7",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.85,
    "implied_probability": 0.85
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  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NVWMTVF6T7",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xc3891a25eba266502a5ba109ce1566f6fde08d0699d38f8ad6cfd719bca2049e",
      "question": "Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Mark Brown: The individual officially sworn in as Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the August 12, 2026 parliamentary elections, confirmed by UMA Optimistic Oracle by July 31, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-12T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Cook Islands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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            "name": "Government of Cook Islands",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.85,
      "implied_probability": 0.85,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1758.800191,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5GMPLGBKY7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NVWMTVF6T7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x3d060760d22e505a95bc39e9b10aaec159b814815cc40fe72d4cbcd9521e166f",
      "question": "Will Tina Browne  be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Tina Browne: The individual officially sworn in as Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the August 12, 2026 parliamentary elections, confirmed by UMA Optimistic Oracle by July 31, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-12T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Cook Islands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NVWMTVF6T7",
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      "question": "Will Teariki Heather be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Teariki Heather: The individual officially sworn in as Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the August 12, 2026 parliamentary elections, confirmed by UMA Optimistic Oracle by July 31, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-12T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Cook Islands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NRL71BCPB1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NVWMTVF6T7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xbd70d62ecc06e88222af16f3d6c86bcd465dec16ead41b937616ca35e21a9b7d",
      "question": "Will Person A be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Person A: The individual officially sworn in as Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the August 12, 2026 parliamentary elections, confirmed by UMA Optimistic Oracle by July 31, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-12T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Cook Islands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZG0F24NYH7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NVWMTVF6T7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x33760b85b0ac4513b05cd80f4f0e99f80b1cba81dc2130fadebcd025961776dd",
      "question": "Will Person B be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Person B: The individual officially sworn in as Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the August 12, 2026 parliamentary elections, confirmed by UMA Optimistic Oracle by July 31, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-12T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Cook Islands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZLXQ2KPDW7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NVWMTVF6T7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xfa82157ad34ff9a7c118d6769b0e290e81298db2bfdf8ff5711e851c82b76ecf",
      "question": "Will Person C be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Person C: The individual officially sworn in as Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the August 12, 2026 parliamentary elections, confirmed by UMA Optimistic Oracle by July 31, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-12T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Cook Islands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FWJH43GB57",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NVWMTVF6T7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x2992dd02cbeca0e6c16d89c637563468b68eb5ca064b78fd29c1e20a2e838315",
      "question": "Will Person D be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Person D: The individual officially sworn in as Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the August 12, 2026 parliamentary elections, confirmed by UMA Optimistic Oracle by July 31, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-12T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Cook Islands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NVWMTVF6T7",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xfd13b4304cb433ce0ff9fbe9927bbbc5d72b6391da71457c8b785a524f443533",
      "question": "Will Person E be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Person E: The individual officially sworn in as Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the August 12, 2026 parliamentary elections, confirmed by UMA Optimistic Oracle by July 31, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-12T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Cook Islands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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