{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-TVSDHSG7Y6",
  "slug": "next-romania-pm-appointed-by-20260623155722428",
  "question": "Will the next Romania Prime Minister be appointed in 2026? (multi-deadline series)",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "romania",
    "executive-appointment",
    "government-formation",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "Both markets track whether Romania's next Prime Minister will be formally appointed, with differing deadlines. The July 31 contract resolves earlier; the December 31 contract extends the window by five months. Both resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. The deadline spread prices the probability of appointment timing, not binary outcome alone.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-JZSFTCBH37",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.04,
    "implied_probability": 0.04
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  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JZSFTCBH37",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TVSDHSG7Y6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x8d1d6ea6d2539a2a54835d476ceb57b99227310bde52d218b1da428e78242830",
      "question": "Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by July 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next Prime Minister of Romania is officially appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be approved by the Romanian Parliament and officially sworn in as Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. Nomination for parliamentary consideration by the President will not count.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister is appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe primary resolutio",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "July 31: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next Prime Minister of Romania is officially appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be approved by the Romanian Parliament and officially sworn in as Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. Nomination for parliamentary consideration by the President will not count.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister is appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official information from the Government of Romania",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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        "score": 71,
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": 0.04,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 15429.134129000007,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "government",
        "politics",
        "romania",
        "romania prime minister"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GJGTDGYM69",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TVSDHSG7Y6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x3e2756f416f207590fb0515a075a0873a3933d5938a8607327b88568c9e4b680",
      "question": "Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next Prime Minister of Romania is officially appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be approved by the Romanian Parliament and officially sworn in as Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. Nomination for parliamentary consideration by the President will not count.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister is appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe primary resolutio",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next Prime Minister of Romania is officially appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be approved by the Romanian Parliament and officially sworn in as Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. Nomination for parliamentary consideration by the President will not count.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister is appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official information from the Government of Romania",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "score": 71,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.907,
      "implied_probability": 0.907,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 5733.8615500000005,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "politics",
        "romania",
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-TVSDHSG7Y6",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}