{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-CWWBW14962",
  "slug": "next-secretary-general-of-the-united-nations",
  "question": "Will there be a new Secretary-General of the United Nations by the end of 2026?",
  "category": "geopolitics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "geopolitics",
    "international-organizations",
    "un-leadership",
    "executive-selection",
    "2026"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the formal UN appointment of the next Secretary-General following the 2026 selection process. Polymarket structures the event as a set of named-candidate binary outcomes, each resolving independently via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. The implied probabilities across all candidate contracts should sum to approximately one; arbitrage exists when they deviate. Resolution requires a formal UN General Assembly appointment, a procedural step that can lag the Security Council recommendation.",
  "venues_covered": [
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-94VJG6T853",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.037
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  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CWWBW14962",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x2e2a3be0f19d98472ebcadb8065cf21a631989fecea79505e8029e3e81ce13b7",
      "question": "Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Michelle Bachelet: The United Nations formal appointment of the named candidate as Secretary-General following the 2026 selection process, with resolution by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CWWBW14962",
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      "question": "Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?",
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      "status": "open",
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      "question": "Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?",
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      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
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      "status": "open",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-94VJG6T853",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CWWBW14962",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xce112692e25bd2e7e6f80e9435e5e49a5bff3f2ff6808c2023020d9e9686adde",
      "question": "Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?",
      "description": "A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for res",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Macky Sall: The United Nations formal appointment of the named candidate as Secretary-General following the 2026 selection process, with resolution by December 31, 2026.",
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      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
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        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CWWBW14962",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x8dc1af4b07e3d9b8b4a330368eae9c435cd623aa3f16afd0bf50887677e163f1",
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      "status": "closed",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CWWBW14962",
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      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Q39NL00686",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CWWBW14962",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x5b33871f3b7c42f9102d36efbda3002fba5107a49a3b1d0edc27815a3657f733",
      "question": "Will Person B be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?",
      "description": "A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for res",
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      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Y9923N8YS3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CWWBW14962",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xbe5ed081454b3184d2fdb6baa1fdac4ed32110fb49ca7bc6482602a95b96b141",
      "question": "Will Person C be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?",
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