{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-YSJQY65MC1",
  "slug": "nguesso-out-as-president-of-the-republic-of-the-congo-by-end-of-2026",
  "question": "Will Denis Sassou Nguesso be out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?",
  "category": "geopolitics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "geopolitics",
    "congo-presidency",
    "african-politics",
    "2026",
    "leadership-transition"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether Denis Sassou Nguesso ceases to hold the Congolese presidency by December 31, 2026. Only one platform prices this event, structured as a binary outcome on Polymarket. Resolution relies on Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle to confirm any change in presidential status. No cross-platform structural contrast exists given the single-market configuration.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-CCL54CMT48",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.12,
    "implied_probability": 0.12
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CCL54CMT48",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YSJQY65MC1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xebe7b01546ccd6b7fd1e446708aa29c6052aa600ff6ce2693a3916ae3f048c0d",
      "question": "Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Denis Sassou Nguesso ceases to be President of the Republic of the Congo for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Denis Sassou Nguesso's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nIf the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of th",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "UMA Optimistic Oracle determines whether Denis Sassou Nguesso ceases to be President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Denis Sassou Nguesso ceases to be President of the Republic of the Congo for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Denis Sassou Nguesso's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nIf the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Denis Sassou Nguesso and the government of the Republic of the Congo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official information from Denis Sassou Nguesso and the government of the Republic of the Congo",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 24,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "adversarial_ground_truth",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.12,
      "implied_probability": 0.12,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 13000.560488000003,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "africa",
        "congo",
        "denis sassou nguesso",
        "leadership",
        "politics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-YSJQY65MC1",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}