{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-BHSCBSRT91",
  "slug": "nh-01-democratic-primary-winner",
  "question": "Will a Democrat win the NH-01 primary election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "elections",
    "politics",
    "2026-us-midterms",
    "new-hampshire",
    "primary-races",
    "democratic-primary"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the outcome of the NH-01 Democratic primary, resolving September 8, 2026. All 19 contracts are Polymarket binary markets, each pricing a single candidate's nomination probability. Together they form a mutually exclusive, collectively exhaustive candidate set. Resolution follows Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, referencing official Democratic National Committee or state party nominee announcements.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-M5N5RJTNR6",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.76,
    "implied_probability": 0.76
  },
  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GC3FJWGZD0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BHSCBSRT91",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x8e0c12663aac3ff057b2b3954864e2370ec1a9c94992104996f79f7da097cda1",
      "question": "Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The Democratic National Committee or official state Democratic Party sources announce the Democratic nominee for New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District after the September 8, 2026 primary election.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-08T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-08T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://democrats.org/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
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          "uncommitted_placeholder"
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.19,
      "implied_probability": 0.19,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 4875.307686,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KGY7WHHMX1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BHSCBSRT91",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7d145bcc5ba69711989e88df77d3b91858bd020277becfe903583f538a01e265",
      "question": "Will Carleigh Beriont be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The Democratic National Committee or official state Democratic Party sources announce the Democratic nominee for New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District after the September 8, 2026 primary election.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-08T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-08T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://democrats.org/",
        "sources": null,
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        "source_quality": null,
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.012,
      "implied_probability": 0.012,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2282.8899189999997,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-M5N5RJTNR6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BHSCBSRT91",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf64108affb6c655b7a50d662d2c508bef1897e40bb3106f7405552c177c92d78",
      "question": "Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The Democratic National Committee or official state Democratic Party sources announce the Democratic nominee for New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District after the September 8, 2026 primary election.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-08T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-08T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://democrats.org/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
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          "uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.76,
      "implied_probability": 0.76,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 11969.862152999993,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-M998JK62X4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BHSCBSRT91",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf148cc2ebf6cc9a264d61d2df574c050121fb9162b3458d261cc0f230a177677",
      "question": "Will Heath Howard be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The Democratic National Committee or official state Democratic Party sources announce the Democratic nominee for New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District after the September 8, 2026 primary election.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-08T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-08T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://democrats.org/",
        "sources": null,
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        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.016,
      "implied_probability": 0.016,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1083.782828,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-BHSCBSRT91",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}