{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-CGQ5HMR728",
  "slug": "nh-01-republican-primary-winner",
  "question": "Will the Republican primary winner be decided for New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "elections",
    "politics",
    "2026",
    "primary",
    "new-hampshire",
    "us-house"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Republican nominee for New Hampshire's First Congressional District primary, closing September 8, 2026. All 21 contracts are binary outcome markets on Polymarket, each pricing a single candidate's nomination probability. Together they form an exhaustive set; probabilities across named candidates and the catch-all \"another candidate\" leg should sum to one. Resolution relies on Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle referencing official Republican National Committee confirmation of the nominee.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-691JVY1RB1",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.1,
    "implied_probability": 0.1
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CGQ5HMR728",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x6d505d271ceae36131590b7e96fca04612bb113c7726c68c26406ebdc3e71440",
      "question": "Will Melissa Bailey be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Melissa Bailey: Official Republican Party sources, including the Republican National Committee, will confirm the named candidate selected as the Republican nominee for the referenced congressional district by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-08T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-08T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.rnc.org/",
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            "url": "https://www.rnc.org/",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 56,
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
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      "volume_total_usd": 1641.170701,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4GMQDR3HH7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CGQ5HMR728",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x91586130efb8231715189a281e3769005986ab9bed02033e647739171c940959",
      "question": "Will Anthony DiLorenzo be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Anthony DiLorenzo: Official Republican Party sources, including the Republican National Committee, will confirm the named candidate selected as the Republican nominee for the referenced congressional district by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-08T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-08T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source_citation": "https://www.rnc.org/",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x6f21d12b7ed695be738057d9721bf83d7ef0ca922c4b837de94f5808e05e1f9f",
      "question": "Will Hollie Noveletsky be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Hollie Noveletsky: Official Republican Party sources, including the Republican National Committee, will confirm the named candidate selected as the Republican nominee for the referenced congressional district by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-08T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-08T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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        "source_citation": "https://www.rnc.org/",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-F7PSRB6745",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CGQ5HMR728",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x8cd98afef220d920cea134c2512f5c1e0448491ef54863434a24174d02b83bed",
      "question": "Will Person A be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Person A: Official Republican Party sources, including the Republican National Committee, will confirm the named candidate selected as the Republican nominee for the referenced congressional district by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-08T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-08T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source_citation": "https://www.rnc.org/",
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      "rcg": {
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        "applied_factors": 6
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1NSKMWKSH4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CGQ5HMR728",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa8c0d4f2c346c17e356a09c44866da87e96d363431407743eb8d1bf13d6b5b49",
      "question": "Will Person C be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Person C: Official Republican Party sources, including the Republican National Committee, will confirm the named candidate selected as the Republican nominee for the referenced congressional district by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-08T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-08T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source_citation": "https://www.rnc.org/",
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        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QZR93PDW85",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CGQ5HMR728",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7a7a751243f4e222f6c8a66b33a331e0235d900aebc5e5c9c03967d0ab46f9df",
      "question": "Will Person E be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Person E: Official Republican Party sources, including the Republican National Committee, will confirm the named candidate selected as the Republican nominee for the referenced congressional district by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-08T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-08T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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        "source_citation": "https://www.rnc.org/",
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        "score": 56,
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-K3HP4YMNM7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CGQ5HMR728",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x16b30fc17bcbf4768b96ca42e0bc2dc050912811b2730fc25a7017b409187fdc",
      "question": "Will Person G be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Person G: Official Republican Party sources, including the Republican National Committee, will confirm the named candidate selected as the Republican nominee for the referenced congressional district by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-08T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-08T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.rnc.org/",
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            "url": "https://www.rnc.org/",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-85Y6JNQ006",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CGQ5HMR728",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xdbfdb7e06bd48b79b4febcc1914c82f88e465fc3677719c6f7a18a95da90ba80",
      "question": "Will Person I be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Person I: Official Republican Party sources, including the Republican National Committee, will confirm the named candidate selected as the Republican nominee for the referenced congressional district by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-08T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-08T00:00:00Z",
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