{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-DB1RWJX7B4",
  "slug": "nm-02-house-election-winner",
  "question": "Will the winner of the New Mexico 2nd Congressional District House election be determined by November 4, 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "2026-us-midterm",
    "house-races",
    "new-mexico",
    "district-specific"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the winner of New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District House seat in the November 2026 general election. Polymarket structures the event as parallel binary contracts: one per candidate and one per party, all resolving on the same outcome. The candidate-level and party-level contracts are redundant in structure but serve different hedging uses. Resolution across all contracts follows Federal Election Commission official results, verified through Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-7T2BF1J4H3",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.11,
    "implied_probability": 0.11
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DB1RWJX7B4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x18f37f39a798002b5b28d986a63eb432934b5c784ae066df5dc27cd5bf25810e",
      "question": "Will B win the NM-02 House seat?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.\n\n​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "B: The Federal Election Commission's official results for the NM-02 House seat on November 4, 2026 determine which party's candidate won, per ballot-listed affiliation at election time.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.\n\n​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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        "source_citation": "https://www.fec.gov/",
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        "source_of_record": "Federal Election Commission",
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        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
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      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "question": "Will C win the NM-02 House seat?",
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      "close_at": "2026-11-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.\n\n​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).",
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        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
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      "question": "Will another party win the NM-02 House seat?",
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      "close_at": "2026-11-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.\n\n​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).",
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        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-W6NLY5NDB7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DB1RWJX7B4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5c55e3751b244adca04d9fbce72b2388ac5418a9c35f52c690c431c35c3da96e",
      "question": "Will E win the NM-02 House seat?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.\n\n​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
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      "close_at": "2026-11-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.\n\n​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
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      "tags": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7T2BF1J4H3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DB1RWJX7B4",
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      "question": "Will the Republican Party win the NM-02 House seat?",
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      "close_at": "2026-11-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.\n\n​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "caps": [],
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      "last_price": 0.11,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 18218.231233000002,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WX29NM1MV1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DB1RWJX7B4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x20561c7ef692f868c5e4efc6e84cac369ce858a6f07094bc15db9f86adbc4c11",
      "question": "Will the Democratic Party win the NM-02 House seat?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.\n\n​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these ",
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      "underlying_reference": "Democratic Party: The Federal Election Commission's official results for the NM-02 House seat on November 4, 2026 determine which party's candidate won, per ballot-listed affiliation at election time.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.\n\n​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.84,
      "implied_probability": 0.84,
      "volume_24h_usd": 150,
      "volume_total_usd": 12967.290850000001,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-V5R270J931",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DB1RWJX7B4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x51ed55ed0c7722e4e5407ad1441774afdeebbac7328735e7a55d2d7970823b19",
      "question": "Will A win the NM-02 House seat?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.\n\n​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "A: The Federal Election Commission's official results for the NM-02 House seat on November 4, 2026 determine which party's candidate won, per ballot-listed affiliation at election time.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.\n\n​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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          {
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