{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-8ZTY0V9816",
  "slug": "no-confidence-vote-against-starmer-by-june-30",
  "question": "Will there be a no-confidence vote against Starmer by June 30?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "uk-politics",
    "parliamentary-motion",
    "starmer",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether the UK House of Commons passes a formal no-confidence motion against Prime Minister Starmer before June 30, 2026. Only one platform structures this event, so no cross-platform structural contrast applies. Resolution relies on Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against the House of Commons official record. The authoritative source is the UK Parliament's published division record.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
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    "implied_probability": 0
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FW1LY0BFZ1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8ZTY0V9816",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x6172c63f9c1653f3fb21fb6f51b94821111730fa9a46212b3150a82f1eb234f7",
      "question": "No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against the sitting government is voted upon in the House of Commons of the United Kingdom by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on whether a motion of no confidence is voted upon in the specified timeframe. Whether the motion is passed will not affect this market’s resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom and a consensus of credible reporting.\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The House of Commons of the United Kingdom's official record of whether a motion of no-confidence against the sitting government is voted upon by June 30, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against the sitting government is voted upon in the House of Commons of the United Kingdom by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on whether a motion of no confidence is voted upon in the specified timeframe. Whether the motion is passed will not affect this market’s resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom and a consensus of credible reporting.\n",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official information from the government of the United Kingdom",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": null,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 857.11,
      "volume_total_usd": 43468.386887000015,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "confidence vote",
        "politics",
        "starmer",
        "uk",
        "uk prime minister"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FW1LY0BFZ1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-8ZTY0V9816",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}