{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZXVZRRJFH4",
  "slug": "nord-stream-pipeline-turned-on-before-2027",
  "question": "Will the Nord Stream pipeline be turned on before 2027?",
  "category": "geopolitics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "trump",
    "politics",
    "geopolitics",
    "energy-infrastructure",
    "russia-eu-relations",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This event tracks whether any Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 pipeline line resumes commercial natural gas delivery before January 1, 2027. Only one market exists, structured as a binary outcome on Polymarket. Resolution relies on Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle referencing credible news reporting of actual commercial gas flow. No cross-platform structural contrast is available with a single market present.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-C3C1XF20J5",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.026,
    "implied_probability": 0.026
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-C3C1XF20J5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZXVZRRJFH4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x55ad441bdaa0391bcdb47bdd939d995f3b6b51531904f0207c3b7316ecde5e13",
      "question": "Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\n\"Commercial quantities\" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Credible news reporting on whether any Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 pipeline line delivers natural gas in commercial quantities to Germany or EU member states by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\n\"Commercial quantities\" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\n\n",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 27,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "adversarial_ground_truth",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.026,
      "implied_probability": 0.026,
      "volume_24h_usd": 76,
      "volume_total_usd": 150921.74,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "energy",
        "europe",
        "geopolitics",
        "infrastructure",
        "nord stream pipeline",
        "russia"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-ZXVZRRJFH4",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}