{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-5424GC2MR4",
  "slug": "north-carolina-senate-election-winner",
  "question": "North Carolina Senate Election Winner",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "nc-senate",
    "2026",
    "us-elections",
    "state-level"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the outcome of the 2026 North Carolina U.S. Senate general election. Polymarket structures the event as parallel binary contracts, one per candidate plus a residual \"field\" contract. All contracts resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against the Associated Press's race call. Named candidates include Roy Cooper (D) and Michael Whatley (R).",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-LX15J4PHR1",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.11,
    "implied_probability": 0.11
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YW0D3PG4Z0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5424GC2MR4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x129dbcb7d39ff8df5f0d7685a2db6400b5db37d3963914486fbb7fd2bc96a923",
      "question": "Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Roy Cooper (D): The Associated Press's declaration of the winner of the 2026 North Carolina U.S. Senate general election, including any runoff, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Associated Press",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official certification",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC",
        "source_mechanism": "quorum",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 82,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.89,
      "implied_probability": 0.89,
      "volume_24h_usd": 67.43,
      "volume_total_usd": 34433.467628000006,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "democrat",
        "north carolina",
        "roy cooper",
        "senate"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LX15J4PHR1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5424GC2MR4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd59f25520a8c0ea44a9c9741a97c8c3d769e21f1479b9a14e1a9d475e91f522a",
      "question": "Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Michael Whatley (R): The Associated Press's declaration of the winner of the 2026 North Carolina U.S. Senate general election, including any runoff, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Associated Press",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official certification",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC",
        "source_mechanism": "quorum",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 82,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.11,
      "implied_probability": 0.11,
      "volume_24h_usd": 329.49359000000004,
      "volume_total_usd": 53685.869394999994,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "michael whatley",
        "north carolina",
        "republican",
        "senate"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-M1680KF6G4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5424GC2MR4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb452d785d494b8f607344b3eff8b82989d9f71cd27c57e1660f47d559c7e83ac",
      "question": "Will Person A win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Person A: The Associated Press's declaration of the winner of the 2026 North Carolina U.S. Senate general election, including any runoff, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Associated Press",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official certification",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC",
        "source_mechanism": "quorum",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 82,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "north carolina",
        "person",
        "senate"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FQYXHLRVC5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5424GC2MR4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xdf17c6b5b9c9d83c0f3ec37890a980bee02563f7f07c5ae50374bfb3f037d410",
      "question": "Will Person B win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Person B: The Associated Press's declaration of the winner of the 2026 North Carolina U.S. Senate general election, including any runoff, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Associated Press",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official certification",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC",
        "source_mechanism": "quorum",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 82,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "north carolina",
        "person",
        "senate"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LNYFHQZ8Y4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5424GC2MR4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x287fda02a15b6aa182be17be94d7eb9ae4a604e2bc536d6e408326bcc4fb0158",
      "question": "Will Person C win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Person C: The Associated Press's declaration of the winner of the 2026 North Carolina U.S. Senate general election, including any runoff, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Associated Press",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official certification",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC",
        "source_mechanism": "quorum",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 82,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "north carolina",
        "person",
        "senate"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9C4JQTV777",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5424GC2MR4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x77ea2820389fc9855629003d914ce77ba0cd1dd165cf27966ddc2174ade4eddc",
      "question": "Will Person D win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Person D: The Associated Press's declaration of the winner of the 2026 North Carolina U.S. Senate general election, including any runoff, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Associated Press",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official certification",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC",
        "source_mechanism": "quorum",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 82,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "north carolina",
        "person",
        "senate"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-K8N10Q9ZN7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5424GC2MR4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xcc3cb456fc11efa40fb940d52e4278e3c79f9c7a3b981457c89ca9c599382bd2",
      "question": "Will Person E win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Person E: The Associated Press's declaration of the winner of the 2026 North Carolina U.S. Senate general election, including any runoff, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Associated Press",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official certification",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC",
        "source_mechanism": "quorum",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 82,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "north carolina",
        "person",
        "senate"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CPR3HR9T66",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5424GC2MR4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xbc197289b1bf3ac652e2b3f38fd66a7509cf56e04c77fd86bf1db1cd1a6e2399",
      "question": "Will Person F win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Person F: The Associated Press's declaration of the winner of the 2026 North Carolina U.S. Senate general election, including any runoff, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Associated Press",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official certification",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC",
        "source_mechanism": "quorum",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 82,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "north carolina",
        "person",
        "senate"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LHWKRMQB12",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5424GC2MR4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x9b5f61109a5f58f3e1eccc89f8c4c8eb1a082405aee1d46bdcad760a05fb283c",
      "question": "Will Person G win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Person G: The Associated Press's declaration of the winner of the 2026 North Carolina U.S. Senate general election, including any runoff, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Associated Press",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official certification",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC",
        "source_mechanism": "quorum",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 82,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "north carolina",
        "person",
        "senate"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5L40CVZ7F4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5424GC2MR4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa06c7f6e10943d1aea84a8a93addbef4bdda581714f164c329f8984008633489",
      "question": "Will Person H win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Person H: The Associated Press's declaration of the winner of the 2026 North Carolina U.S. Senate general election, including any runoff, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Associated Press",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official certification",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC",
        "source_mechanism": "quorum",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 82,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "north carolina",
        "person",
        "senate"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KHHC7M2ZX4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5424GC2MR4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xec80922045530faeb7b3bfc75e0d9e5ae0f010aa243003ffd95663a2e82e69ed",
      "question": "Will Person I win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Person I: The Associated Press's declaration of the winner of the 2026 North Carolina U.S. Senate general election, including any runoff, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Associated Press",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official certification",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC",
        "source_mechanism": "quorum",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 82,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "north carolina",
        "person",
        "senate"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-89BRXPHC38",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5424GC2MR4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x3aa3dae188cff22f70e65aec16ec6ce080349078fd15a8d53217f0afdb15e42b",
      "question": "Will Person J win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Person J: The Associated Press's declaration of the winner of the 2026 North Carolina U.S. Senate general election, including any runoff, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Associated Press",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official certification",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC",
        "source_mechanism": "quorum",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 82,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "north carolina",
        "person",
        "senate"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QGN3Y01C22",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5424GC2MR4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xea63035ab85b78fa8d54fcb7caa9b3119d33813b4765b2663ed7d72cf0bfd3ca",
      "question": "Will a candidate not listed above win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Other: The Associated Press's declaration of the winner of the 2026 North Carolina U.S. Senate general election, including any runoff, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Associated Press",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official certification",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC",
        "source_mechanism": "quorum",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 82,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "north carolina",
        "other candidate",
        "senate"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-M1680KF6G4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-07-23",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FQYXHLRVC5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-07-23",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LNYFHQZ8Y4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-07-23",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9C4JQTV777",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-07-23",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-K8N10Q9ZN7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-07-23",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CPR3HR9T66",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-07-23",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LHWKRMQB12",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-07-23",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5L40CVZ7F4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-07-23",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KHHC7M2ZX4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-07-23",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-89BRXPHC38",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-07-23",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QGN3Y01C22",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-07-23",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-5424GC2MR4",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}