{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZR2B4D7N42",
  "slug": "nothing-ever-happens-june-20260601234950501",
  "question": "Will nothing notable happen by June 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "monthly-event",
    "2026",
    "prediction-meta",
    "low-volatility",
    "geopolitical-stasis"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether any major unexpected event occurs in June 2026 across a defined set of indicators. The resolution scope spans WTI crude oil spot price moves, US government statements on extraterrestrial life, Federal Reserve policy announcements, and Russia-related geopolitical developments. Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle resolves the outcome against those specified source categories. The market closes and resolves simultaneously on June 30, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-B928L90NV2",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0,
    "implied_probability": 0
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-B928L90NV2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZR2B4D7N42",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x76a8fe3a5cd672066961fed6c7db87f8988782a276dd49b2b0387d9e8f221f1d",
      "question": "Nothing Ever Happens: June",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:\n\n- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150\n- US confirms that aliens exist\n- Fed decides any change in June\n- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire\n- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile\n\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.\n\nThe full rules for this market can be found here:\nhttps://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_June.pdf",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "WTI Crude Oil spot price, US government statements on extraterrestrial life, Federal Reserve policy announcements, Russian-Ukrainian ceasefire declarations, and Iranian nuclear negotiations through June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T17:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T17:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:\n\n- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150\n- US confirms that aliens exist\n- Fed decides any change in June\n- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire\n- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile\n\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.\n\nThe full rules for this market can be found here:\nhttps://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_June.pdf",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_June.pdf",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com",
            "url": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_June.pdf",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 28,
        "caps": [
          "adversarial_ground_truth",
          "commitment_none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 4205.01552,
      "volume_total_usd": 22299.837962000012,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "event",
        "nothing",
        "occurrence"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-B928L90NV2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-02T14:48:05Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-ZR2B4D7N42",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}