{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-X00DNFYST1",
  "slug": "nothing-ever-happens-obama",
  "question": "Will nothing ever happen involving Obama?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "2026",
    "us-politics",
    "obama",
    "event-prediction"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether Barack Obama is federally charged, arrested, or divorced by December 31, 2026. It is structured as a binary outcome on Polymarket. Resolution follows Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle protocol. No corroborating platform prices this event, limiting cross-market signal.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-FV9XDBBDW7",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.955,
    "implied_probability": 0.955,
    "as_of": "2026-09-01T20:00:46.866Z"
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FV9XDBBDW7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X00DNFYST1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7301c676b80d44f01b486ef0a0b27696ada172c7293f4dd3226932071a8086e0",
      "question": "Nothing Ever Happens: Obama",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:\n\n- Obama federally charged\n- Obama arrested\n- Obama divorce\n\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.\n\nThe full rules for this market can be found here: \nhttps://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_Obama.pdf",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "UMA Optimistic Oracle resolves based on whether Barack Obama is federally charged, arrested, or divorced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:\n\n- Obama federally charged\n- Obama arrested\n- Obama divorce\n\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.\n\nThe full rules for this market can be found here: \nhttps://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_Obama.pdf",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com",
            "url": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_Obama.pdf",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com",
            "url": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_Obama.pdf",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 46,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.955,
      "implied_probability": 0.955,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-01T20:00:46.866Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 12175.151543999998,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "obama",
        "personality",
        "politics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-X00DNFYST1",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}