{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-X00DNFYST1",
  "slug": "nothing-ever-happens-obama",
  "question": "Will nothing ever happen involving Obama?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "2026",
    "us-politics",
    "obama",
    "event-prediction"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether Barack Obama faces federal criminal charges, an arrest, or files for divorce by December 31, 2026. Polymarket structures it as a binary outcome, resolved via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against federal criminal filings, law enforcement arrest records, or divorce court records. The multi-trigger resolution scope means any one qualifying event settles the contract affirmatively.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-FV9XDBBDW7",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.884,
    "implied_probability": 0.884
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FV9XDBBDW7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X00DNFYST1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7301c676b80d44f01b486ef0a0b27696ada172c7293f4dd3226932071a8086e0",
      "question": "Nothing Ever Happens: Obama",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:\n\n- Obama federally charged\n- Obama arrested\n- Obama divorce\n\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.\n\nThe full rules for this market can be found here: \nhttps://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_Obama.pdf",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Federal criminal charges filed against Barack Obama, law enforcement arrest records, or divorce filing by Barack Obama or Michelle Obama through December 31, 2026, as documented by U.S. courts or official government records.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:\n\n- Obama federally charged\n- Obama arrested\n- Obama divorce\n\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.\n\nThe full rules for this market can be found here: \nhttps://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_Obama.pdf",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_Obama.pdf",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com",
            "url": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_Obama.pdf",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 56,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.884,
      "implied_probability": 0.884,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 11095.848347000006,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "obama",
        "personality",
        "politics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-X00DNFYST1",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}