{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-XZP0BKMTH5",
  "slug": "nv-01-house-election-winner",
  "question": "Will the Nevada 1st Congressional District House seat be won by a Republican in the 2026 election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "house-race",
    "nevada",
    "2026",
    "us-midterms"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the November 2026 general election outcome for Nevada's 1st Congressional District House seat. Polymarket structures the event across two tiers: party-level binary contracts (Republican, Democrat, other) and candidate-level contracts (A through E). All eight markets resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, using ballot-affiliation of the winning candidate as the authoritative source. Resolution is set for November 4, 2026, the day after the election.",
  "venues_covered": [
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-XXGFVTHF68",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.086
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  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xaf681bb7e57ee20f081c575c293c61d956c95e3c08246d216c5df123bcc1ff7c",
      "question": "Will the Republican Party win the NV-01 House seat?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.\n\n​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Republican Party: The party affiliation of the winning candidate in the referenced congressional district, as determined by their ballot listing or identifiable party association when all 2026 House elections are conclusively called by the Federal Election Commission, resolves the market on November 4, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.\n\n​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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          {
            "name": "Federal Election Commission",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Federal Election Commission",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.086,
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      "volume_total_usd": 10907.815452999997,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "tags": [
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        "house",
        "nv-01",
        "republican party"
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      "platform_market_id": "0x6bc9531fff87196aa1ced85050c8532b1bf75ac18e14a2949180b7d19171256a",
      "question": "Will the Democratic Party win the NV-01 House seat?",
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      "close_at": "2026-11-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.\n\n​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).",
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      "tags": [
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      "question": "Will another party win the NV-01 House seat?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Other: The party affiliation of the winning candidate in the referenced congressional district, as determined by their ballot listing or identifiable party association when all 2026 House elections are conclusively called by the Federal Election Commission, resolves the market on November 4, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.\n\n​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).",
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      "tags": [
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XZP0BKMTH5",
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      "question": "Will A win the NV-01 House seat?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.\n\n​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these ",
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      "close_at": "2026-11-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.\n\n​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).",
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      "close_at": "2026-11-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.\n\n​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2FCF4WXJP5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XZP0BKMTH5",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xa81be810d48bf34ac82fd743098a18e379b737d8dff67ce3f18f2cf2a67f26b0",
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      "close_at": "2026-11-04T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-04T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.\n\n​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).",
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XZP0BKMTH5",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xa0038f70b0161f83563ab5634281ca10c169f594108dea92f0620585cb61d51b",
      "question": "Will D win the NV-01 House seat?",
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      "underlying_reference": "D: The party affiliation of the winning candidate in the referenced congressional district, as determined by their ballot listing or identifiable party association when all 2026 House elections are conclusively called by the Federal Election Commission, resolves the market on November 4, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-04T00:00:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.\n\n​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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