{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-G8DDZ76CC1",
  "slug": "ny-07-democratic-primary-winner",
  "question": "Will a Democrat win the NY-07 Democratic Primary?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "elections",
    "politics",
    "ny-07",
    "democratic-primary",
    "2026",
    "us-house"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the outcome of the NY-07 Democratic primary, scheduled to resolve June 23, 2026. Each Polymarket contract prices one named candidate's probability of winning the nomination. The markets are mutually exclusive; probabilities across all contracts sum to approximately one. Resolution follows Democrats.org confirmation, processed via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-C2HZV49TV8",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-J1NFJWP688",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-G8DDZ76CC1",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xdc00146a77dbe0f17e69b4c5d71e9358b0e9eaae4908ab993e0fff0c566abb11",
      "question": "Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Antonio Reynoso: The Democratic Party nominee for the New York 7th congressional district, as confirmed by Democrats.org and official party sources by June 23, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://democrats.org/",
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            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "implied_probability": 0,
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      "direction": null,
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-C2HZV49TV8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-G8DDZ76CC1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1288e00f4c7d1c05c0da3cf1ffa8b16261ea2b92cd1fa569110381f47e753578",
      "question": "Will Kristen Gonzalez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Kristen Gonzalez: The Democratic Party nominee for the New York 7th congressional district, as confirmed by Democrats.org and official party sources by June 23, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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        "source_citation": "https://democrats.org/",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-G8DDZ76CC1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5016734473b5f5d63393b1559c1def892e9a0fe69b346700639738d184f6b46e",
      "question": "Will Julie Won be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Julie Won: The Democratic Party nominee for the New York 7th congressional district, as confirmed by Democrats.org and official party sources by June 23, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://democrats.org/",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "volume_24h_usd": 26.17,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NH3SWZ88V1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-G8DDZ76CC1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5b9ae5fb1419357dd7930e7f1748e52272ae1f6165c2fbc6ddd35938f84b8ecc",
      "question": "Will Lincoln Restler be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Lincoln Restler: The Democratic Party nominee for the New York 7th congressional district, as confirmed by Democrats.org and official party sources by June 23, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://democrats.org/",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0,
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      "volume_24h_usd": null,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KRLJYVWLW1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-G8DDZ76CC1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc47d5386411a75a6b87c78cafd47993a42ad8b8b0df166e9722a275269449612",
      "question": "Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Claire Valdez: The Democratic Party nominee for the New York 7th congressional district, as confirmed by Democrats.org and official party sources by June 23, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source_citation": "https://democrats.org/",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "volume_24h_usd": 71,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3QXNN8RSH3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-G8DDZ76CC1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5e90d88b45b5643dd86cb43a8a25d8d264e1ec70e6e86555bfb5f0b6741a37e2",
      "question": "Will Candidate B be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Candidate B: The Democratic Party nominee for the New York 7th congressional district, as confirmed by Democrats.org and official party sources by June 23, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source": null,
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        "source_citation": "https://democrats.org/",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
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        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-M5CC5N7GD4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-G8DDZ76CC1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x60c3d52ae411c914aad669818f0c31d940c36d4b99533321e1d9de5aaf52f90a",
      "question": "Will Candidate D be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Candidate D: The Democratic Party nominee for the New York 7th congressional district, as confirmed by Democrats.org and official party sources by June 23, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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        "source_citation": "https://democrats.org/",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6P0JDRHK55",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-G8DDZ76CC1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb0c0f985b0cc17df40809213fbce98f001666e048a180dd589b915f3be5b0888",
      "question": "Will Candidate F be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Candidate F: The Democratic Party nominee for the New York 7th congressional district, as confirmed by Democrats.org and official party sources by June 23, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
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