{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-3JVLYHYGL8",
  "slug": "ny-13-democratic-primary-winner",
  "question": "Will a Democrat win the NY-13 Democratic Primary?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "2026",
    "new-york",
    "democratic-primary",
    "ny-13"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the outcome of the NY-13 Democratic primary, scheduled for June 23, 2026. Polymarket structures the event as per-candidate binary contracts, each asking whether a named individual wins the nomination. The implied field probability is the sum of all named-candidate contracts subtracted from one. Resolution follows Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, referencing certified primary results from New York State Board of Elections.",
  "venues_covered": [
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-037LPYCH26",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 1
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xba8526e4bf87c26c043d7048d364508d066117c173a91f2c56a82128fdc9102c",
      "question": "Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Adriano Espaillat: The named candidate's status as the Democratic Party nominee for the NY-13 congressional district resolves per official Democratic Party sources including democrats.org by June 23, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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        "source_citation": "https://democrats.org/",
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      "question": "Will Jaleel Amador be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?",
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      "close_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
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      "question": "Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?",
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      "close_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-K5K49WCWR0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3JVLYHYGL8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa103fd29e21844a2c37dbae0ddd5abc05c9a899652f82b185b1cfd02d18e052e",
      "question": "Will Theo Chino-Tavarez be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Theo Chino-Tavarez: The named candidate's status as the Democratic Party nominee for the NY-13 congressional district resolves per official Democratic Party sources including democrats.org by June 23, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source_citation": "https://democrats.org/",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x7406898e6ec1bfc478fb7c0b0ee2c425f651ad48700739caaa05d7ffada6c326",
      "question": "Will James Felton Keith be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "James Felton Keith: The named candidate's status as the Democratic Party nominee for the NY-13 congressional district resolves per official Democratic Party sources including democrats.org by June 23, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
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        "source_citation": "https://democrats.org/",
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      "question": "Will Matt Miller be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Matt Miller: The named candidate's status as the Democratic Party nominee for the NY-13 congressional district resolves per official Democratic Party sources including democrats.org by June 23, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source_citation": "https://democrats.org/",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-P43RGWKLT2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3JVLYHYGL8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x15dd98954f5a3d5bc21a6fe182d76bbde3e29af1465195df74a6f82c5be6fb2c",
      "question": "Will Megan Rodriguez be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Megan Rodriguez: The named candidate's status as the Democratic Party nominee for the NY-13 congressional district resolves per official Democratic Party sources including democrats.org by June 23, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-59790NZVR9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3JVLYHYGL8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
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      "question": "Will Oscar Romero be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?",
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