{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-SL35VH75R6",
  "slug": "ny-15-democratic-primary-winner",
  "question": "Will a Democrat win the NY-15 Democratic primary?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "ny-15",
    "democratic-primary",
    "2026",
    "us-house"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Democratic primary nominee for New York's 15th congressional district, resolving June 23, 2026. All 18 contracts are per-candidate binary markets on Polymarket; probabilities across named candidates must sum to one. Named contenders include Ritchie Torres, Amanda Septimo, Michael Blake, and Dalourny Nemorin, with residual catch-all coverage. Resolution follows Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, keyed to official Democratic Party certification.",
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-P9TWZGX6W7",
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xe8ddce0b363dec3cd83336187125c4b23ba35ddd9ab082356b38f1cb122f3ae9",
      "question": "Will Ritchie Torres be the Democratic nominee for NY-15?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Ritchie Torres: The Democratic Party nominee for the referenced congressional district, as confirmed by official Democratic Party sources including democrats.org by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, determines resolution.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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        "source_citation": "https://democrats.org/",
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      "tags": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KX8CXGLSN8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SL35VH75R6",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xe34353946e1b980f8ff778a5deab963630446b5286b870e230ec59b017dfdf12",
      "question": "Will Amanda Septimo be the Democratic nominee for NY-15?",
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      "underlying_reference": "Amanda Septimo: The Democratic Party nominee for the referenced congressional district, as confirmed by official Democratic Party sources including democrats.org by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, determines resolution.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
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      "question": "Will Candidate C be the Democratic nominee for NY-15?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Candidate C: The Democratic Party nominee for the referenced congressional district, as confirmed by official Democratic Party sources including democrats.org by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, determines resolution.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-C10K5DM421",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SL35VH75R6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5a4fcb756109093d59674ff4eb03b1f9fd31b274e9c4e1431b621c2e7e48cea6",
      "question": "Will Candidate E be the Democratic nominee for NY-15?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Candidate E: The Democratic Party nominee for the referenced congressional district, as confirmed by official Democratic Party sources including democrats.org by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, determines resolution.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3BCKJ5BT30",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SL35VH75R6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x317c3195cc5e8c52fbb1279b94a70f6910e63069e5b37a14e4eb28c702d11e8a",
      "question": "Will Candidate G be the Democratic nominee for NY-15?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
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      "close_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DV5KFYYV29",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SL35VH75R6",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x86704ffd371a4d2b170f87d4ffe5df2152b9582acb6eb85718f5da7d94802153",
      "question": "Will Candidate I be the Democratic nominee for NY-15?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Candidate I: The Democratic Party nominee for the referenced congressional district, as confirmed by official Democratic Party sources including democrats.org by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, determines resolution.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-T1ZZG7BHC3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SL35VH75R6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x9af029e33f9b7236acea63522ec72fe1db3a9d3561e25f944fdc048f47232266",
      "question": "Will Candidate K be the Democratic nominee for NY-15?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Candidate K: The Democratic Party nominee for the referenced congressional district, as confirmed by official Democratic Party sources including democrats.org by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, determines resolution.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-23T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "tags": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SL35VH75R6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
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