{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-QVWVD9JNX6",
  "slug": "nyc-mayor-of-tweets-july-21-july-28-2026",
  "question": "Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "nyc-mayor",
    "social-media-activity",
    "2026",
    "quantifiable-metric",
    "weekly-resolution"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the NYC Mayor's X account post count across an eight-day window ending July 28, 2026. Polymarket structures the event as eleven discrete count tiers, each a mutually exclusive binary resolving to the observed weekly total. The probability-weighted tier distribution functions as an implied frequency forecast, similar to a vol surface across strikes. Resolution relies on Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, using non-reply post counts snapshotted daily at 12:00 PM ET.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-2TGMLY7LD4",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.4,
    "implied_probability": 0.4
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LW2ZK650S9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QVWVD9JNX6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xedec7ac89fc3f7837faeb83651d9f9486fd8335c33cc5b5cfe4e2f927acf555a",
      "question": "Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between July 21, 12:00 PM ET and July 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://x",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "<20: The X account's post count during July 21–28, 2026 (12:00 PM ET each day), excluding replies, as recorded by the platform's Post Counter tracker by July 28, 4:00 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between July 21, 12:00 PM ET and July 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/NYCMayor",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/NYCMayor",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 16,
      "volume_total_usd": 576.185333,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 20,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "mayor",
        "nyc",
        "nyc mayor posts",
        "social-media"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2TGMLY7LD4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QVWVD9JNX6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x661bc25c9f2bf6d203abeee44b6520f2e49c361b8c78f0214701e6a9d85d6210",
      "question": "Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between July 21, 12:00 PM ET and July 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://x",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "20-39: The X account's post count during July 21–28, 2026 (12:00 PM ET each day), excluding replies, as recorded by the platform's Post Counter tracker by July 28, 4:00 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between July 21, 12:00 PM ET and July 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/NYCMayor",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/NYCMayor",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.4,
      "implied_probability": 0.4,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1063.020178,
      "volume_total_usd": 4442.428681999998,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 20,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "mayor",
        "nyc",
        "nyc mayor posts",
        "social-media"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KWSHRTX694",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QVWVD9JNX6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xaa0f89481fb224ef5be61b4e5f4fb626262abfbd1683d0e42c2745b279b4f315",
      "question": "Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between July 21, 12:00 PM ET and July 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://x",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "40-59: The X account's post count during July 21–28, 2026 (12:00 PM ET each day), excluding replies, as recorded by the platform's Post Counter tracker by July 28, 4:00 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between July 21, 12:00 PM ET and July 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/NYCMayor",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/NYCMayor",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.39,
      "implied_probability": 0.39,
      "volume_24h_usd": 239.646656,
      "volume_total_usd": 3127.23773,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 40,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "mayor",
        "nyc",
        "nyc mayor posts",
        "social-media"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-B3JFMNXHN4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QVWVD9JNX6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x6ad057773bad4ab75dfe97061ce1b083ff2c303b06f3dce22c610bcd162e5d3f",
      "question": "Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between July 21, 12:00 PM ET and July 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://x",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "60-79: The X account's post count during July 21–28, 2026 (12:00 PM ET each day), excluding replies, as recorded by the platform's Post Counter tracker by July 28, 4:00 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between July 21, 12:00 PM ET and July 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/NYCMayor",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/NYCMayor",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
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            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.071,
      "implied_probability": 0.071,
      "volume_24h_usd": 142.369694,
      "volume_total_usd": 1123.6608419999998,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 60,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "mayor",
        "nyc",
        "nyc mayor posts",
        "social-media"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-F78V0N01L3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QVWVD9JNX6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xe4a18acbcac3aa2e4e93ce9229882d971d155cbada457e301e349f7aa85f510a",
      "question": "Will NYC Mayor post 80-99 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between July 21, 12:00 PM ET and July 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://x",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "80-99: The X account's post count during July 21–28, 2026 (12:00 PM ET each day), excluding replies, as recorded by the platform's Post Counter tracker by July 28, 4:00 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between July 21, 12:00 PM ET and July 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/NYCMayor",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/NYCMayor",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 67.071,
      "volume_total_usd": 602.045,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 80,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "mayor",
        "nyc",
        "nyc mayor posts",
        "social-media"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZJM3C2J3J6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QVWVD9JNX6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x8dd53b22525415268cf7e1c479fe74fc75c21aec31cadd611122af60bb16dccf",
      "question": "Will NYC Mayor post 100-119 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between July 21, 12:00 PM ET and July 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://x",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "100-119: The X account's post count during July 21–28, 2026 (12:00 PM ET each day), excluding replies, as recorded by the platform's Post Counter tracker by July 28, 4:00 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between July 21, 12:00 PM ET and July 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/NYCMayor",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/NYCMayor",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 28.58,
      "volume_total_usd": 573.5570000000001,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 100,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "mayor",
        "nyc",
        "nyc mayor posts",
        "social-media"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MGP5QKX7T8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QVWVD9JNX6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa58e7234d47498a36bd1db26826fad38d7fe4986425c48e19b81d7bffbc625be",
      "question": "Will NYC Mayor post 120-139 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between July 21, 12:00 PM ET and July 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://x",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "120-139: The X account's post count during July 21–28, 2026 (12:00 PM ET each day), excluding replies, as recorded by the platform's Post Counter tracker by July 28, 4:00 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between July 21, 12:00 PM ET and July 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/NYCMayor",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/NYCMayor",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 16,
      "volume_total_usd": 674.8539999999999,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 120,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "mayor",
        "nyc",
        "nyc mayor posts",
        "social-media"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3ZS994FKL7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QVWVD9JNX6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5a303c6df45bc589fb38e1466bfda200006aa189f214f96e4f7f8e5eacc1971b",
      "question": "Will NYC Mayor post 140-159 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between July 21, 12:00 PM ET and July 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://x",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "140-159: The X account's post count during July 21–28, 2026 (12:00 PM ET each day), excluding replies, as recorded by the platform's Post Counter tracker by July 28, 4:00 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between July 21, 12:00 PM ET and July 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
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        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/NYCMayor",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "X itself",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 51.981,
      "volume_total_usd": 702.835,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 140,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "mayor",
        "nyc",
        "nyc mayor posts",
        "social-media"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VXY1HCYMV4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QVWVD9JNX6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x456aa88b3ae348d8c753ba8fb9e803912d9fb18b699b84a11e5808ce1f503fcd",
      "question": "Will NYC Mayor post 160-179 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between July 21, 12:00 PM ET and July 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://x",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "160-179: The X account's post count during July 21–28, 2026 (12:00 PM ET each day), excluding replies, as recorded by the platform's Post Counter tracker by July 28, 4:00 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between July 21, 12:00 PM ET and July 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/NYCMayor",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/NYCMayor",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 51.981,
      "volume_total_usd": 710.645,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 160,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "mayor",
        "nyc",
        "nyc mayor posts",
        "social-media"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KSP5VVL8H0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QVWVD9JNX6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xfec902d8180591e2c424c09d7a7931b78c29484231e2c3e6808f0b866a488364",
      "question": "Will NYC Mayor post 180-199 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between July 21, 12:00 PM ET and July 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://x",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "180-199: The X account's post count during July 21–28, 2026 (12:00 PM ET each day), excluding replies, as recorded by the platform's Post Counter tracker by July 28, 4:00 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between July 21, 12:00 PM ET and July 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/NYCMayor",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/NYCMayor",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 16,
      "volume_total_usd": 664.873,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 180,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "mayor",
        "nyc",
        "nyc mayor posts",
        "social-media"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PKZCVFT5W5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QVWVD9JNX6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x642450818d08b9d24a22a903dd73d6363867a59f84687d8b49a3a050783d7371",
      "question": "Will NYC Mayor post 200+ posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between July 21, 12:00 PM ET and July 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://x",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "200+: The X account's post count during July 21–28, 2026 (12:00 PM ET each day), excluding replies, as recorded by the platform's Post Counter tracker by July 28, 4:00 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between July 21, 12:00 PM ET and July 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/NYCMayor",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/NYCMayor",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 16,
      "volume_total_usd": 675.76,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 200,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "mayor",
        "nyc",
        "nyc mayor posts",
        "social-media"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
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  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-QVWVD9JNX6",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}