{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-P39SGJ96R5",
  "slug": "nyc-mayor-of-tweets-july-31-august-7-2026",
  "question": "Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "nyc-government",
    "social-media-activity",
    "2026",
    "public-figure-behavior",
    "weekly-metric"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the NYC Mayor's total X post count from July 31 to August 7, 2026. Count includes main feed posts, quotes, and reposts. Eleven mutually exclusive Polymarket brackets span zero to 200-plus posts in 20-unit increments. Resolution uses Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against a Post Counter figure for the mayor's X account.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-6MMHDCM0F4",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.32,
    "implied_probability": 0.32
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Z6SJZDGB68",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-P39SGJ96R5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa7faa661cfc24078761b107591dde2f976bf2c6e7e9b69986383e019bba6a25a",
      "question": "Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "<20: The Post Counter figure for the named candidate's X account main feed, quote, and repost activity between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET, as captured by the tracker.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/NYCMayor",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/NYCMayor",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.005,
      "implied_probability": 0.005,
      "volume_24h_usd": 66.60100100000001,
      "volume_total_usd": 1314.537855,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 20,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "mayor",
        "nyc",
        "nyc mayor posts",
        "social-media"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1MRVL6XCF5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-P39SGJ96R5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x0efc4716364a32228176514ee8af5b3b1e96f41b700ea5f61c94916bf213f966",
      "question": "Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "20-39: The Post Counter figure for the named candidate's X account main feed, quote, and repost activity between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET, as captured by the tracker.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/NYCMayor",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.63,
      "implied_probability": 0.63,
      "volume_24h_usd": 201.92402199999998,
      "volume_total_usd": 3916.916299,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 20,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "mayor",
        "nyc",
        "nyc mayor posts",
        "social-media"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6MMHDCM0F4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-P39SGJ96R5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x80c96995d1eb38d40cf55e586d39763f171d80b2b39233ad19da280d064392b7",
      "question": "Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "40-59: The Post Counter figure for the named candidate's X account main feed, quote, and repost activity between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET, as captured by the tracker.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/NYCMayor",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/NYCMayor",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.32,
      "implied_probability": 0.32,
      "volume_24h_usd": 41.99,
      "volume_total_usd": 5309.445772,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 40,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "mayor",
        "nyc",
        "nyc mayor posts",
        "social-media"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WM7GCLLTP0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-P39SGJ96R5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x485dff294d3a1eb048ba2e989d1800e91ff773d5815a181adcde9e6fd94db0fd",
      "question": "Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "60-79: The Post Counter figure for the named candidate's X account main feed, quote, and repost activity between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET, as captured by the tracker.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/NYCMayor",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/NYCMayor",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.021,
      "implied_probability": 0.021,
      "volume_24h_usd": 77.791428,
      "volume_total_usd": 3206.585011,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 60,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "mayor",
        "nyc",
        "nyc mayor posts",
        "social-media"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-380488X9F1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-P39SGJ96R5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xcf57fadfce1edcccd0e5f2d97b5558e030af7b98ecd4f99be41b0e2ca7773e7b",
      "question": "Will NYC Mayor post 80-99 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "80-99: The Post Counter figure for the named candidate's X account main feed, quote, and repost activity between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET, as captured by the tracker.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/NYCMayor",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/NYCMayor",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": 61.001,
      "volume_total_usd": 396.894,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 80,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "mayor",
        "nyc",
        "nyc mayor posts",
        "social-media"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KRZZVLGZN8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-P39SGJ96R5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc5b97d1afc24b07664e28b686c2a014866e40a2ce2bc15af1c80778ebedc3633",
      "question": "Will NYC Mayor post 100-119 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "100-119: The Post Counter figure for the named candidate's X account main feed, quote, and repost activity between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET, as captured by the tracker.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/NYCMayor",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/NYCMayor",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": 100,
      "volume_total_usd": 610.1365000000001,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 100,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "mayor",
        "nyc",
        "nyc mayor posts",
        "social-media"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XGZ78LFXM5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-P39SGJ96R5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x8b077e895f7ffbf129c7ed8b96e0cb0f8ebea4a979ab1a8b90eae5a6dd6f1ade",
      "question": "Will NYC Mayor post 120-139 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "120-139: The Post Counter figure for the named candidate's X account main feed, quote, and repost activity between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET, as captured by the tracker.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/NYCMayor",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/NYCMayor",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": 61.001,
      "volume_total_usd": 353.87499999999994,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 120,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "mayor",
        "nyc",
        "nyc mayor posts",
        "social-media"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4HYRZ289N0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-P39SGJ96R5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x61582ba4041be5e6605102288fce3c167586030ef82b7bf60d0f94f046d26aba",
      "question": "Will NYC Mayor post 140-159 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "140-159: The Post Counter figure for the named candidate's X account main feed, quote, and repost activity between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET, as captured by the tracker.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
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        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "name": "X itself",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": 61.001,
      "volume_total_usd": 409.86749999999995,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 140,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "nyc",
        "nyc mayor posts",
        "social-media"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RQXTQQ4534",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-P39SGJ96R5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa84a92566d3160bff2cc5b4226e68f43b95bada6f3a01af853d315d9db1b9e03",
      "question": "Will NYC Mayor post 160-179 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/NYCMayor",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/NYCMayor",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": 68.001,
      "volume_total_usd": 483.124,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 160,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "mayor",
        "nyc",
        "nyc mayor posts",
        "social-media"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7SQRM3BBD0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-P39SGJ96R5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa372d0a67868053e2ffb123b8ccd4624cdc4d3e3445fcb83700e4b567789e92b",
      "question": "Will NYC Mayor post 180-199 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "180-199: The Post Counter figure for the named candidate's X account main feed, quote, and repost activity between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET, as captured by the tracker.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/NYCMayor",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "https://x.com/NYCMayor",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
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            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 10,
      "volume_total_usd": 536.973,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 180,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "nyc",
        "nyc mayor posts",
        "social-media"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-P39SGJ96R5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x013b9ce7dacd11e381ff45d040787ca833df69ffe602116d06bbbdb04f1f2f6a",
      "question": "Will NYC Mayor post 200+ posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
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      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
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        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/NYCMayor",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/NYCMayor",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 10,
      "volume_total_usd": 539.881,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 200,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "mayor",
        "nyc",
        "nyc mayor posts",
        "social-media"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
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  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-P39SGJ96R5",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}