{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-5JK44SYC77",
  "slug": "nyse-marketwide-circuit-breaker-before-2027",
  "question": "Will a NYSE marketwide circuit breaker be triggered before 2027?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "finance",
    "market-halts",
    "stock-market",
    "circuit-breakers",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether the NYSE triggers a Level 1, Level 2, or Level 3 marketwide circuit breaker halt before January 1, 2027. Resolution relies on New York Stock Exchange official announcements via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. Only one platform structures this event, so no cross-platform contrast applies. The S&P 500 decline thresholds of 7%, 13%, and 20% govern halt eligibility under NYSE Rule 80B.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-9SQ4QQSFN0",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.17,
    "implied_probability": 0.17
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9SQ4QQSFN0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5JK44SYC77",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x51cc0614ea1f7bec1578cc308d2514e2d2cbe0501707bba7f0eea17652956e44",
      "question": "NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a marketwide circuit breaker is triggered on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at any time between November 7, 2025, and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA marketwide circuit breaker is defined as a trading halt that is initiated due to significant declines in the S&P 500 Index, specifically a Level 1, Level 2, or Level 3 halt as per NYSE rules.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NYSE, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "New York Stock Exchange official announcements of Level 1, Level 2, or Level 3 marketwide circuit breaker halts triggered between November 7, 2025, and December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a marketwide circuit breaker is triggered on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at any time between November 7, 2025, and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA marketwide circuit breaker is defined as a trading halt that is initiated due to significant declines in the S&P 500 Index, specifically a Level 1, Level 2, or Level 3 halt as per NYSE rules.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NYSE, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official information from the NYSE",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.17,
      "implied_probability": 0.17,
      "volume_24h_usd": 457.791158,
      "volume_total_usd": 91107.48825099999,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-481449CF58",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "circuit breaker",
        "market halt",
        "nyse",
        "nyse marketwide circuit"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-5JK44SYC77",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}