{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-X8SB4C7Q71",
  "slug": "oh-07-house-election-winner",
  "question": "Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "elections",
    "politics",
    "2026",
    "house-races",
    "ohio",
    "us-midterms"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the outcome of the Ohio 7th Congressional District House race in the November 2026 election. Polymarket offers both party-level markets and candidate-specific contracts, letting traders price outcome at two levels of granularity. The party-level and candidate-level markets are structurally linked; implied probabilities across named candidates should sum to the corresponding party contract. Resolution relies on Federal Election Commission certified results, processed through Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-YQTRHVVNR9",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.44,
    "implied_probability": 0.44
  },
  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YQTRHVVNR9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X8SB4C7Q71",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x388344a7f4d93d5a7a85a53a4a17912b0fc541eaa84daebf3dac67d5ce44d565",
      "question": "Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.\n\n​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these p",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The Federal Election Commission publishes the official results for the OH-07 House seat in the November 4, 2026 election.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.\n\n​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.fec.gov/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 50,
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.44,
      "implied_probability": 0.44,
      "volume_24h_usd": 342.79,
      "volume_total_usd": 14168.927782000006,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "democrat",
        "democratic party",
        "election",
        "house",
        "oh-07"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DQHNRTJN92",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X8SB4C7Q71",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x86c64c0b4af3b9d9d0509b56038c58e8a7c8a6d0be4b0ed2116c92f5591f8440",
      "question": "Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.\n\n​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these p",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The Federal Election Commission publishes the official results for the OH-07 House seat in the November 4, 2026 election.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.\n\n​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.fec.gov/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 50,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.54,
      "implied_probability": 0.54,
      "volume_24h_usd": 887.04,
      "volume_total_usd": 9955.722177999995,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "election",
        "house",
        "oh-07",
        "republican",
        "republican party"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-X8SB4C7Q71",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}