{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-8KTRBR2H14",
  "slug": "ok-01-republican-primary-winner",
  "question": "Will the Republican primary winner be determined by June 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "elections",
    "politics",
    "2026",
    "republican-primary",
    "oklahoma",
    "us-house"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Republican primary nominee for Oklahoma's 1st Congressional District, closing June 16, 2026. Each Polymarket contract prices a single named candidate's binary nomination outcome. All contracts resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against Republican National Committee confirmation. The field includes named entrants and placeholder slots, reflecting an unsettled candidate roster.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-3KCL4T6MT8",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TDDYWK4J46",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8KTRBR2H14",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf5d5ed7acbb5f1b13d9bea1ac65a398961234a4dc349c567bc6109193f5fc746",
      "question": "Will Jed Cochran be the Republican nominee for OK-01?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 16, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Jed Cochran: The Republican National Committee will confirm the named candidate's nomination for the OK-01 House seat following the June 16, 2026 primary election.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-16T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-16T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 16, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.rnc.org/",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://www.rnc.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 2168.4072520000004,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ok 01 republican"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RJFFWWMV82",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8KTRBR2H14",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xace768d1e7cab0d55c828c543ac9e0590c918d832ce2d38da61c4c1d13e78bcd",
      "question": "Will Nancy Dyson be the Republican nominee for OK-01?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 16, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Nancy Dyson: The Republican National Committee will confirm the named candidate's nomination for the OK-01 House seat following the June 16, 2026 primary election.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-16T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-16T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 16, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.rnc.org/",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3KCL4T6MT8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8KTRBR2H14",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x6e47a5547e34f9dbb26ebd67ce8693787d20251c5f1f909d377564aa040cd807",
      "question": "Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 16, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Jackson Lahmeyer: The Republican National Committee will confirm the named candidate's nomination for the OK-01 House seat following the June 16, 2026 primary election.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-16T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-16T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 16, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.rnc.org/",
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            "url": "https://www.rnc.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 790.3398030000001,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-21R97P56N4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8KTRBR2H14",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa9a5846ff275f872abbed43bd159f272c8e17d03471d5626b4ddac7df0943a8e",
      "question": "Will Paul Royse be the Republican nominee for OK-01?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 16, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Paul Royse: The Republican National Committee will confirm the named candidate's nomination for the OK-01 House seat following the June 16, 2026 primary election.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-16T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-16T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 16, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.rnc.org/",
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            "url": "https://www.rnc.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 2033.8540659999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QZHL7TCT36",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8KTRBR2H14",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x9d68465261466ff75df821881efdb495983f40a02e64d6c310dc91b6c8a39597",
      "question": "Will Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 16, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Mark Tedford: The Republican National Committee will confirm the named candidate's nomination for the OK-01 House seat following the June 16, 2026 primary election.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-16T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-16T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 16, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source_citation": "https://www.rnc.org/",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 280,
      "volume_total_usd": 13401.849755000005,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JLSFG5JK81",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8KTRBR2H14",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x371108deed4e18f7da21e035a8db567547fb8a68e2eaf234681094f0fa2fbccd",
      "question": "Will Kelly B. Walsh be the Republican nominee for OK-01?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 16, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Kelly B. Walsh: The Republican National Committee will confirm the named candidate's nomination for the OK-01 House seat following the June 16, 2026 primary election.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-16T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-16T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 16, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.rnc.org/",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://www.rnc.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0,
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      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 2125.625641,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ok 01 republican"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BP5TL6TMY8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8KTRBR2H14",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x944a43a694a273ee2baba89c0cc05818d7ff0dd97f42733b0bfff129b16377ad",
      "question": "Will Candidate B be the Republican nominee for OK-01?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 16, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Candidate B: The Republican National Committee will confirm the named candidate's nomination for the OK-01 House seat following the June 16, 2026 primary election.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-16T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-16T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 16, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.rnc.org/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "rnc.org",
            "url": "https://www.rnc.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ok 01 republican"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HX33Y239G6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8KTRBR2H14",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xac6937d20d21b2d738ec32fc74a62326a1826cf9efaeaf757280b5a97a358e29",
      "question": "Will Candidate D be the Republican nominee for OK-01?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 16, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Candidate D: The Republican National Committee will confirm the named candidate's nomination for the OK-01 House seat following the June 16, 2026 primary election.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-16T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-16T00:00:00Z",
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