{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZJHGNRYCK5",
  "slug": "openai-1t-valuation-in-2026",
  "question": "Will OpenAI reach a valuation of $1 trillion or more by 2026?",
  "category": "technology",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "technology",
    "openai",
    "ai",
    "valuation",
    "unicorn-milestone",
    "venture-capital"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether OpenAI will achieve a valuation of $1 trillion or more by December 31, 2026. A single Polymarket binary resolves yes if OpenAI's official communications or credible reporting consensus confirms that threshold. Resolution follows Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle protocol. Valuation confirmation absent a public equity listing may introduce ambiguity in sourcing credible consensus.",
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    "implied_probability": 0.65
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  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZJHGNRYCK5",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x3d597cce587930a248a0f0d06f7ad020b80cbdeb6067edb32048f99bbf981ecc",
      "question": "OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nTo qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. \n\nThe resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "OpenAI's official communications or credible reporting consensus confirming a valuation of $1 trillion or more by December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nTo qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. \n\nThe resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "volume_total_usd": 26742.40319099988,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1000000000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-46682C5BC5",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "openai",
        "openai valuation",
        "unicorn",
        "valuation"
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-ZJHGNRYCK5",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}