{
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  "slug": "openai-files-ipo-by",
  "question": "Will OpenAI file for an IPO by the end of 2025?",
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  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether OpenAI submits a Form S-1 or F-1 registration with the SEC by four discrete deadline dates in May and June 2026. Each binary contract prices the same directional outcome at a progressively later cutoff, creating an implied probability term structure across the May 22, May 26, May 29, and June 5 dates. Resolution depends on confirmed filings in the SEC's EDGAR database, verified through Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. Later-dated contracts should carry equal or higher probability than earlier ones by construction.",
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