{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-4XQTFZWVD7",
  "slug": "opensea-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch",
  "question": "OpenSea FDV one day after launch",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      100000000,
      100000000
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 100000000,
        "prob": 52
      },
      {
        "threshold": 100000000,
        "prob": 49
      },
      {
        "threshold": 300000000,
        "prob": 43
      },
      {
        "threshold": 500000000,
        "prob": 42
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1000000000,
        "prob": 21
      },
      {
        "threshold": 2000000000,
        "prob": 5
      },
      {
        "threshold": 3000000000,
        "prob": 7
      },
      {
        "threshold": 5000000000,
        "prob": 6
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "opensea",
    "fdv-valuation",
    "token-launch",
    "2027"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the fully diluted valuation of the OpenSea token at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after its token launch. Eight Polymarket binary strikes span $100M to $5B, structuring the event as a ladder of threshold questions rather than a single outcome. Each strike resolves independently via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against the most liquid available price source. The spread between struck thresholds lets traders express a point estimate of FDV through implied probabilities across the ladder.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-FK7XJNTW92",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.214,
    "implied_probability": 0.214
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YMJVLSRTV6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-4XQTFZWVD7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xe67c947bf8eeb8dffdeea19806cf266fe65f6d20f3e5bbf5135e11e544fe9b7f",
      "question": "Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$1B: The listed company's token fully diluted valuation on the most liquid price source at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public launch, or \"No\" if no launch occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 38,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.14,
      "implied_probability": 0.14,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2056467.437544996,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1000000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-53F28D5966",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "opensea",
        "opensea fdv",
        "token-launch"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6Y7M6DTDY5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-4XQTFZWVD7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa0192d11031455f486dd13d43438c815e5ba135e2595039991a7d09a6b438989",
      "question": "Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$500M: The listed company's token fully diluted valuation on the most liquid price source at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public launch, or \"No\" if no launch occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 38,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.195,
      "implied_probability": 0.195,
      "volume_24h_usd": 727.732554,
      "volume_total_usd": 2238864.84843499,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 500000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-B1061EFE6C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "opensea",
        "opensea fdv",
        "token-launch"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3GMW9VQT94",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-4XQTFZWVD7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa75027ddbd883169b0fef4779c912106fe9460536240a1d613d175f04b75ca25",
      "question": "Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$3B: The listed company's token fully diluted valuation on the most liquid price source at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public launch, or \"No\" if no launch occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 38,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.059,
      "implied_probability": 0.059,
      "volume_24h_usd": 358.84000000000003,
      "volume_total_usd": 799115.3748730002,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3000000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-9A4D2B4CB1",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "opensea",
        "opensea fdv",
        "token-launch"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0GVQX5XJH4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-4XQTFZWVD7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc20be6636f316125da44ca53f6631cc00086e9fba8e1ad8d9012ae20ee7006a8",
      "question": "Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$5B: The listed company's token fully diluted valuation on the most liquid price source at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public launch, or \"No\" if no launch occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 38,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.037,
      "implied_probability": 0.037,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1496.378597999999,
      "volume_total_usd": 475049.803213999,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 5000000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-4B858D314E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "opensea",
        "opensea fdv",
        "token-launch"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6C654W57X9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-4XQTFZWVD7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb8a8833f60836f1a4860727dfebed0cb0fc59a6f9cd22ec840a2e7f6a7dbb2a3",
      "question": "Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$2B: The listed company's token fully diluted valuation on the most liquid price source at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public launch, or \"No\" if no launch occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 38,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.07,
      "implied_probability": 0.07,
      "volume_24h_usd": 10.75,
      "volume_total_usd": 520510.2283899997,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2000000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-DA9C8D78A9",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "opensea",
        "opensea fdv",
        "token-launch"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MHCW7NPZD2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-4XQTFZWVD7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x9027a12cbbf78e9bff760402ab106732fa5a4af2002e4f48e5cc406ac1447800",
      "question": "Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$100M: The listed company's token fully diluted valuation on the most liquid price source at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public launch, or \"No\" if no launch occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 38,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.25,
      "implied_probability": 0.25,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 276665.931224,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 100000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-B3D51A93F2",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "opensea",
        "opensea fdv",
        "token-launch"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FK7XJNTW92",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-4XQTFZWVD7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x77a4012e47d506eee2a992032c11dab236bb56cac17a994bc2db3f7467cd97d1",
      "question": "Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$100M: The listed company's token fully diluted valuation on the most liquid price source at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public launch, or \"No\" if no launch occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 38,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.214,
      "implied_probability": 0.214,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1022.39,
      "volume_total_usd": 112557.12626300007,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 100000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-B3D51A93F2",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "opensea",
        "opensea fdv",
        "token-launch"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VSJC9KPFY6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-4XQTFZWVD7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xe98dcebda874fe4bddc1d55a86e2d44c59faad0a58b2d87f4e5c0962fdd6c953",
      "question": "Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$300M: The listed company's token fully diluted valuation on the most liquid price source at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public launch, or \"No\" if no launch occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 38,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.22,
      "implied_probability": 0.22,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1451.88082,
      "volume_total_usd": 78073.69471899999,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 300000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-9761210DC7",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "opensea",
        "opensea fdv",
        "token-launch"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-4XQTFZWVD7",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}