{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-8NM5Q3MQR1",
  "slug": "osun-state-gubernatorial-election-winner-20260722191218748",
  "question": "Will the Osun State Gubernatorial Election winner be determined by August 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "nigeria",
    "gubernatorial-race",
    "osun-state",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the outcome of the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial election in Nigeria. Polymarket structures the event as candidate-level binary contracts, each asking whether a named individual wins. All markets resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. The close and resolve timestamps align at August 15, 2026, leaving no gap for post-election adjudication.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-0SLGYCMZG9",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.34,
    "implied_probability": 0.34
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-D59ZVGNZK3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8NM5Q3MQR1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5fa9075d972f7c3d470549416d446b9da83678b9fb2384e6360151a7f369483b",
      "question": "Will Ademola Adeleke win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?",
      "description": "Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Osun State, Nigeria on August 15, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. \n\nIf the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Ademola Adeleke: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-15T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-15T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Osun State, Nigeria on August 15, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. \n\nIf the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Osun State and Nigeria, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://inecnigeria.org).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://inecnigeria.org",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "inecnigeria.org",
            "url": "https://inecnigeria.org",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Independent National Electoral Commission",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Independent National Electoral Commission",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 53,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.52,
      "implied_probability": 0.52,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2112.951723,
      "volume_total_usd": 7145.2773480000005,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "osun state gubernatorial"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RWWK7X7ZF9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8NM5Q3MQR1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7eec06bd941c3269c49180c188aef3f6fb9e2fb6290ae47858f82d1d18354be6",
      "question": "Will Farinloye Olarenwaju win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?",
      "description": "Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Osun State, Nigeria on August 15, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. \n\nIf the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Farinloye Olarenwaju: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-15T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-15T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Osun State, Nigeria on August 15, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. \n\nIf the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Osun State and Nigeria, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://inecnigeria.org).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://inecnigeria.org",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "inecnigeria.org",
            "url": "https://inecnigeria.org",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Independent National Electoral Commission",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Independent National Electoral Commission",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 53,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 188.09,
      "volume_total_usd": 1380.16475,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "osun state gubernatorial"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RV5JZY6364",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8NM5Q3MQR1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x61af8eaa0d1fe8cb0df7a05477c14f19cdf960c0a2289c55023254334f565ef5",
      "question": "Will Esan Olajide win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?",
      "description": "Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Osun State, Nigeria on August 15, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. \n\nIf the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Esan Olajide: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-15T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-15T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Osun State, Nigeria on August 15, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. \n\nIf the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Osun State and Nigeria, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://inecnigeria.org).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://inecnigeria.org",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "inecnigeria.org",
            "url": "https://inecnigeria.org",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Independent National Electoral Commission",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Independent National Electoral Commission",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 53,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": 156.03,
      "volume_total_usd": 1519.108714,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "osun state gubernatorial"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FRXF40XCX8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8NM5Q3MQR1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x0541a9841c831ef1afde8c655b7b55be7f391790808349104daf535c0efcf8de",
      "question": "Will Najeem Salam win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?",
      "description": "Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Osun State, Nigeria on August 15, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. \n\nIf the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Najeem Salam: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-15T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-15T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Osun State, Nigeria on August 15, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. \n\nIf the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Osun State and Nigeria, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://inecnigeria.org).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://inecnigeria.org",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "inecnigeria.org",
            "url": "https://inecnigeria.org",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Independent National Electoral Commission",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Independent National Electoral Commission",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 53,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 57.08,
      "volume_total_usd": 1506.693777,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "osun state gubernatorial"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1C9BPV79M3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8NM5Q3MQR1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x6d4f735e5cde24e4b909822de159989301dfe8484ee170ea8238f42762c3d2c9",
      "question": "Will Adeagbo Opawoye win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?",
      "description": "Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Osun State, Nigeria on August 15, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. \n\nIf the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Adeagbo Opawoye: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-15T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-15T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Osun State, Nigeria on August 15, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. \n\nIf the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Osun State and Nigeria, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://inecnigeria.org).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://inecnigeria.org",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "inecnigeria.org",
            "url": "https://inecnigeria.org",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Independent National Electoral Commission",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Independent National Electoral Commission",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 53,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": 44.71,
      "volume_total_usd": 1264.618253,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "osun state gubernatorial"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0SLGYCMZG9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8NM5Q3MQR1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5d2a3c8fa1bdb56f3145f5cdcdffa9f7b8540342e4135482d914b72db037a7a0",
      "question": "Will Bola Oyebamiji win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?",
      "description": "Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Osun State, Nigeria on August 15, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. \n\nIf the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Bola Oyebamiji: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-15T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-15T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Osun State, Nigeria on August 15, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. \n\nIf the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Osun State and Nigeria, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://inecnigeria.org).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://inecnigeria.org",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "inecnigeria.org",
            "url": "https://inecnigeria.org",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Independent National Electoral Commission",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Independent National Electoral Commission",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 53,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.34,
      "implied_probability": 0.34,
      "volume_24h_usd": 6968.016615999999,
      "volume_total_usd": 10399.219927,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "osun state gubernatorial"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BWSPL2R825",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8NM5Q3MQR1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xe2a3687aebf8f51a43cce4602d77c4ef2bcd580a322ec8d9e3c1df7d1594e998",
      "question": "Will Adesina Adeyemi-Doro win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?",
      "description": "Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Osun State, Nigeria on August 15, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. \n\nIf the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Adesina Adeyemi-Doro: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-15T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-15T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Osun State, Nigeria on August 15, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. \n\nIf the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Osun State and Nigeria, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://inecnigeria.org).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://inecnigeria.org",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "inecnigeria.org",
            "url": "https://inecnigeria.org",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Independent National Electoral Commission",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Independent National Electoral Commission",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 53,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.003,
      "implied_probability": 0.003,
      "volume_24h_usd": 84.7,
      "volume_total_usd": 1068.708506,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "osun state gubernatorial"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8NT5YFXYN7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8NM5Q3MQR1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xeb9930dec24c54e5f890dbdf0e5b39a788edfea609513b8e2b327892bb2c200e",
      "question": "Will Adewale Adebayo win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?",
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