{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-1HSNRBYJ42",
  "slug": "pedro-snchez-out-as-pm-of-spain-by",
  "question": "Will Pedro Sánchez be out as Prime Minister of Spain by 2026?",
  "category": "geopolitics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "geopolitics",
    "spanish-politics",
    "executive-transition",
    "2026",
    "eu-politics"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "Both markets track whether Pedro Sánchez vacates the Spanish prime ministership before a set deadline. The June 2026 contract prices near-term political risk; the December 2026 contract prices the full-year window. The structural difference is time horizon: one is a six-month binary, the other a twelve-month binary on the same outcome. Both resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against official Spanish government announcements.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-7MZHXNJFW5",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.003,
    "implied_probability": 0.003,
    "as_of": null
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7MZHXNJFW5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-1HSNRBYJ42",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x56f429da08529abec24c531b7accf689d84e68096c4983d375ff37f316f46dae",
      "question": "Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nIf the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within t",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "June 30, 2026: The named individual's status as Prime Minister of Spain, determined by public announcement or official government records, resolves on July 1, 2026 at 06:50 UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T06:50:34Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nIf the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 50,
        "caps": [
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          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.003,
      "implied_probability": 0.003,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 385828.25320499955,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "pedro nchez spain",
        "political leadership",
        "prime minister",
        "spain"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-T57FV55D20",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-1HSNRBYJ42",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x890f9b8de730479549e95027f26aad5ce89ecc4a42a6fd6316d0b0aec9a5aad1",
      "question": "Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nIf the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within t",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31, 2026: The named individual's status as Prime Minister of Spain, determined by public announcement or official government records, resolves on July 1, 2026 at 06:50 UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nIf the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
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        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 50,
        "caps": [
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          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.23,
      "implied_probability": 0.23,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-07T09:00:42.355Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 29.26,
      "volume_total_usd": 185824.88912199996,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "pedro nchez spain",
        "political leadership",
        "prime minister",
        "spain"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
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  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7MZHXNJFW5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-01T06:50:34Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-1HSNRBYJ42",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}