{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-X8GH8VFYN1",
  "slug": "pennsylvania-governor-winner-2026",
  "question": "Will the Republicans win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "pennsylvania",
    "governor-race",
    "us-state-elections",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the outcome of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election. Polymarket lists party-level markets alongside named-candidate markets, all resolved via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. The party markets price Democratic or Republican victory; the candidate markets price individual nominees not yet finalized. Resolution requires an Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC call on the winner.",
  "venues_covered": [
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-P54Q3GMZ64",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.06,
    "implied_probability": 0.06
  },
  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WBGDRV2KF4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X8GH8VFYN1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x58b1d112b4a3a2616da6a77b8d755cc478c1d6f71ed3dedaa5e1fd794e4b0e61",
      "question": "Will the Democrats win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC call the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "Associated Press",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 82,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "implied_probability": 0.94,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 7198.083858,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "democrat",
        "governor",
        "pennsylvania",
        "pennsylvania governor"
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-P54Q3GMZ64",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X8GH8VFYN1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb3529e4cbcc5756ae7d5662ad1d6ddd8dd97b53bd459e2684af9bb8c4dbf582c",
      "question": "Will the Republicans win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC call the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "Associated Press",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "score": 82,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "implied_probability": 0.06,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 12289.150393000004,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "governor",
        "pennsylvania",
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-X8GH8VFYN1",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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