{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-X8GH8VFYN1",
  "slug": "pennsylvania-governor-winner-2026",
  "question": "Will the Pennsylvania Governor election be won by the Democratic candidate?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "pennsylvania",
    "governor-race",
    "us-state-elections",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the outcome of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election. Polymarket structures the event as a set of binary contracts, one per candidate or party, each resolving via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. The Democrat and Republican contracts anchor the partisan outcome; placeholder options suggest the candidate field is not yet finalized. Traders should note that resolution depends on certified election results as interpreted through the UMA protocol Polymarket uses for settlement.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-P54Q3GMZ64",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.025,
    "as_of": "2026-08-30T22:00:48.384Z"
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
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      "platform_market_id": "0x58b1d112b4a3a2616da6a77b8d755cc478c1d6f71ed3dedaa5e1fd794e4b0e61",
      "question": "Will the Democrats win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Democrat: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
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        "sources": [
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            "name": "Associated Press",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "official certification",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": "quorum",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 82,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.954,
      "implied_probability": 0.954,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-06T14:00:44.667Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 7495.046956,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "election",
        "governor",
        "pennsylvania",
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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      "platform_market_id": "0xb3529e4cbcc5756ae7d5662ad1d6ddd8dd97b53bd459e2684af9bb8c4dbf582c",
      "question": "Will the Republicans win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Republican: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 82,
        "caps": [],
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      "last_price": 0.025,
      "implied_probability": 0.025,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-30T22:00:48.384Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 41640.296516999995,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
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      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd78f8329dc2f923e3e3af5fe0bf28223329e22f1c5fdee8c57c6a3c0cde91764",
      "question": "Will Option A win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Option A: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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        "sources": [
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 82,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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        "candidate",
        "election",
        "governor",
        "pennsylvania",
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-H8CJ849Q70",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X8GH8VFYN1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5ce6b8d189a341bb8762e2657827a1dcd9dfccce503d48389249613bd54e385a",
      "question": "Will Option B win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Option B: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 82,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0,
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      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-X0TC0991Y2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X8GH8VFYN1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x74f4907d0e880836ce40515a732b1555df4356e2f37175240790204177898900",
      "question": "Will Option C win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Option C: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "tags": [
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4LVZ9F2T29",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X8GH8VFYN1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc853922c15f547e8625d6f44761867f9f66b0db594fadd14087d870aa7209c6f",
      "question": "Will Option D win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Option D: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": null,
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      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 82,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0,
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      "price_as_of": null,
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      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YY94HLF6B3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X8GH8VFYN1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x12b217ee3c2b68e0771ed1943aa026913ebc1600572b610b044d1950dea1014c",
      "question": "Will Option E win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Option E: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": null,
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      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "name": "Fox News",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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