{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-WVRJZNC182",
  "slug": "pernambuco-governor-election-winner-20260709143134925",
  "question": "Will the winner of the Pernambuco Governor Election be determined by October 4, 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "brazil",
    "pernambuco",
    "2026",
    "regional-governance"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the outcome of the 2026 Pernambuco gubernatorial election, closing October 4, 2026. Polymarket structures the event as a set of parallel binary contracts, one per candidate. Each contract resolves independently via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. Placeholder candidates suggest the field is not yet finalized; positions may be reassigned as official candidacies are confirmed.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-SQNV47J784",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.36,
    "implied_probability": 0.36
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  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WVRJZNC182",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xf80b14bd7c49a66749ed94e734bd048637b7f8680d5dd6dd040178f1dd5c8874",
      "question": "Will João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election?",
      "description": "The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a con",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "João Campos: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-10-04T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-04T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": 0.36,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2677.99,
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      "underlying_reference": "Raquel Lyra: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-10-04T23:59:00Z",
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      "tags": [
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WVRJZNC182",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x06597598a629c85c3f1972262b4a91a6231042614092203d93318db48e26b47d",
      "question": "Will Ivan Moraes win the Pernambuco Governor election?",
      "description": "The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a con",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Ivan Moraes: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-10-04T23:59:00Z",
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            "name": "Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE)",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "name": "www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes",
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WVRJZNC182",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x69108d74ffb223b477a00e51fb60a45279a32d7fe3e70433e4267a17fb33ce97",
      "question": "Will Candidate A win the Pernambuco Governor election?",
      "description": "The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a con",
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      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Candidate A: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-10-04T23:59:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
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      "question": "Will Candidate B win the Pernambuco Governor election?",
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      "close_at": "2026-10-04T23:59:00Z",
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          {
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            "name": "www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "caps": [],
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      "tags": [
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WVRJZNC182",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xc81f2613fa5e1189778ec5ea06ef20a1219c15b6b1d8c32d1bd2e8bd390c9c2a",
      "question": "Will Candidate C win the Pernambuco Governor election?",
      "description": "The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a con",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Candidate C: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-10-04T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-04T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source": null,
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        "source_citation": "www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes",
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        "caps": [],
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      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "tags": [
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WVRJZNC182",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xfec6506e20aa979089da7e90e2536c66980ecc942cb0901a01389413fedd6e9e",
      "question": "Will Candidate D win the Pernambuco Governor election?",
      "description": "The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a con",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "deadline_at": "2026-10-04T23:59:00Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-WVRJZNC182",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}