{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-4P9HVH2J97",
  "slug": "pete-hegseth-out-as-secretary-of-defense-by-july-31-20260616200232527",
  "question": "Will Pete Hegseth be out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "trump-administration",
    "cabinet-turnover",
    "defense-secretary",
    "political-exit",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether Pete Hegseth departs the Secretary of Defense role by July 31, 2026. A single Polymarket binary contract prices the departure outcome directly. Resolution relies on Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, referencing official government announcements or credible news consensus. No corroborating Kalshi contract exists for cross-platform comparison.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-9JS66QF0Q8",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.008,
    "implied_probability": 0.008
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9JS66QF0Q8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-4P9HVH2J97",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd9f4ad023ca0e2631152e7c63054437509570fcbc669c2928e8986eb978b41e7",
      "question": "Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Official announcements from Pete Hegseth, the U.S. government, or credible news consensus regarding his departure as Secretary of Defense by July 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T11:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T11:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 50,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.008,
      "implied_probability": 0.008,
      "volume_24h_usd": 858.369964,
      "volume_total_usd": 111341.06438099993,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "pete hegseth",
        "pete hegseth secretary",
        "secretary of defense",
        "us politics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-4P9HVH2J97",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}