{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-2N85PDKKY1",
  "slug": "puffpaw-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch",
  "question": "Puffpaw FDV one day after launch",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      null,
      50000000
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 50000000,
        "prob": 17
      },
      {
        "threshold": 100000000,
        "prob": 19
      },
      {
        "threshold": 200000000,
        "prob": 12
      },
      {
        "threshold": 300000000,
        "prob": 8
      },
      {
        "threshold": 400000000,
        "prob": 10
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "token-launch",
    "fdv-metric",
    "puffpaw",
    "2027",
    "price-discovery"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Puffpaw's fully diluted valuation one day after token launch. Five binary strike thresholds span $50M to $400M, each resolving independently. All five use Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, computing FDV as total supply multiplied by price from the most liquid venue. Resolution is set for January 2027.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-6PJSZ5K526",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.29,
    "implied_probability": 0.29,
    "as_of": "2026-09-06T06:00:48.475Z"
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6PJSZ5K526",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2N85PDKKY1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x8bcbc39541f2d12c9e4ec1ac4d181d6aada34852301c38d64cf5db3929b7c327",
      "question": "Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Puffpaw's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Puffpaw (https://www.puffpaw.xyz/) doesn't l",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$50M: The listed token's fully diluted valuation, calculated as total token supply multiplied by price from the most liquid trading source, measured at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public launch, determines resolution via UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Puffpaw's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Puffpaw (https://www.puffpaw.xyz/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.puffpaw.xyz/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "puffpaw.xyz",
            "url": "https://www.puffpaw.xyz/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 34,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.29,
      "implied_probability": 0.29,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-06T06:00:48.475Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 88.49000000000001,
      "volume_total_usd": 1504641.1444719983,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 50000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-FC429E81B6",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "puffpaw",
        "puffpaw fdv"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-P8SCPZYNB4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2N85PDKKY1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x23969ec06514ad241fda435742187a08c1b2b2d0b5080f0c0751c9dc0f2d886b",
      "question": "Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Puffpaw's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Puffpaw (https://www.puffpaw.xyz/) doesn't l",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$100M: The listed token's fully diluted valuation, calculated as total token supply multiplied by price from the most liquid trading source, measured at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public launch, determines resolution via UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Puffpaw's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Puffpaw (https://www.puffpaw.xyz/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.puffpaw.xyz/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "puffpaw.xyz",
            "url": "https://www.puffpaw.xyz/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 34,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.27,
      "implied_probability": 0.27,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-06T06:00:48.475Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 176.08,
      "volume_total_usd": 1707234.816293001,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 100000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-FFA2B50DC5",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "puffpaw",
        "puffpaw fdv"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-R8541YM8L5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2N85PDKKY1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x62b44acd817f0133bda1c8d05e396ed56ab6af72d1f25b8c5ea50f0344379d05",
      "question": "Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Puffpaw's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Puffpaw (https://www.puffpaw.xyz/) doesn't l",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$200M: The listed token's fully diluted valuation, calculated as total token supply multiplied by price from the most liquid trading source, measured at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public launch, determines resolution via UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Puffpaw's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Puffpaw (https://www.puffpaw.xyz/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.puffpaw.xyz/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "puffpaw.xyz",
            "url": "https://www.puffpaw.xyz/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 34,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.21,
      "implied_probability": 0.21,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-06T05:00:35.185Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 82.67,
      "volume_total_usd": 624753.567502999,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 200000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-1871C30BDA",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "puffpaw",
        "puffpaw fdv"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9PCPLN2NG6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2N85PDKKY1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x300c5d497f713edd1c2cc30754b7ae6f1f05f2e8e1ca03c6d3e28eee7ff9e729",
      "question": "Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Puffpaw's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Puffpaw (https://www.puffpaw.xyz/) doesn't l",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$300M: The listed token's fully diluted valuation, calculated as total token supply multiplied by price from the most liquid trading source, measured at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public launch, determines resolution via UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Puffpaw's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Puffpaw (https://www.puffpaw.xyz/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.puffpaw.xyz/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "puffpaw.xyz",
            "url": "https://www.puffpaw.xyz/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 34,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.085,
      "implied_probability": 0.085,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-04T14:00:19.917Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 776108.8443299992,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 300000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-E6DE2877A2",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "puffpaw",
        "puffpaw fdv"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1Z0DQSTDB6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2N85PDKKY1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x88a19761fa049ae36da8a403464db9f356a7ea7d0163415052ed748bf72a20bf",
      "question": "Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Puffpaw's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Puffpaw (https://www.puffpaw.xyz/) doesn't l",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$400M: The listed token's fully diluted valuation, calculated as total token supply multiplied by price from the most liquid trading source, measured at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public launch, determines resolution via UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Puffpaw's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Puffpaw (https://www.puffpaw.xyz/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.puffpaw.xyz/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "puffpaw.xyz",
            "url": "https://www.puffpaw.xyz/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 34,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.071,
      "implied_probability": 0.071,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-05T16:01:23.024Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 908356.6636800042,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 400000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-63ED890143",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "puffpaw",
        "puffpaw fdv"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-2N85PDKKY1",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}