{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-6NTVVT0N53",
  "slug": "putin-and-zelenskyy-shake-hands-by-june-30",
  "question": "Will Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by 2026?",
  "category": "geopolitics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "geopolitics",
    "putin-zelenskyy",
    "ukraine-russia",
    "diplomacy",
    "symbolic-gesture",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This event tracks whether Russian President Vladimir Putin and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy will publicly shake hands before a specified deadline. Both markets are on Polymarket and price the same binary outcome across two different time horizons: June 30 and August 31, 2026. The June 30 market implies a tighter probability than the August 31 market, reflecting the shorter window for a diplomatic encounter. Both resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-WNXGSXG3Y7",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.011,
    "implied_probability": 0.011
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WNXGSXG3Y7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6NTVVT0N53",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x250d8e7e7658612e5c576a15494f59d2f37e3745c96ef3d5cb093d5a78ecd10f",
      "question": "Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by August 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelenskyy shake hands by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the handshake to qualify toward a \"Yes\" resolution, there must be video or photographic evidence.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be photographic or digital evidence verified by a consensus of credible reporting.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "August 31: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelenskyy shake hands by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the handshake to qualify toward a \"Yes\" resolution, there must be video or photographic evidence.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be photographic or digital evidence verified by a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 41,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.011,
      "implied_probability": 0.011,
      "volume_24h_usd": 6.9918320000000005,
      "volume_total_usd": 63883.50697499999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "diplomacy",
        "putin",
        "putin zelenskyy handshake",
        "russia",
        "ukraine",
        "zelenskyy"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CLPGQMCFP0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6NTVVT0N53",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x146ed0661e0ed33d4733ccc62443298806a464649d62ef668e39059bfc2ccb26",
      "question": "Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the handshake to qualify toward a \"Yes\" resolution, there must be video or photographic evidence.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be photographic or digital evidence verified by a consensus of credible reporting.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "June 30: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T06:09:40Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the handshake to qualify toward a \"Yes\" resolution, there must be video or photographic evidence.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be photographic or digital evidence verified by a consensus of credible reporting.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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        "sources": null,
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        "grade": "C",
        "score": 41,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 53970.010698,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "diplomacy",
        "putin",
        "putin zelenskyy handshake",
        "russia",
        "ukraine",
        "zelenskyy"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CLPGQMCFP0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-01T06:09:40Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-6NTVVT0N53",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}